(last updated on March 14 with Feb producer prices, end-Feb monetary base
and end-Jan balace of payments) ...
...-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KEY INTEREST RATES 2-WEEK REPO DISCOUNT LOMBARD
rate 2.50 pct 1.50 pct 3.50 pct
last changed
(date of decision) Sept 27, 2006 Sept 27, 2006 Sept 27,2006
former rate 2.25 pct 1.25 pct 3.25 pct
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CZECH GDP (in pct) Q4/06 Q3/06 Q4/05 2006
Real change yr/yr 5.8 5.9 6.7 6.1
Final consumption 4.6 2.5 2.0 3.2
Household 5.4 4.3 2.9 4.6
Government 2.6 -1.8 -0.1 0.3
Gross capital formation 11.1 13.0 4.8 12.2
fixed capital formation 7.6 8.0 3.2 7.3
Foreign trade balance n/a n/a n/a n/a
exports of goods 18.1 12.8 12.2 16.2
export of services 12.4 4.0 -5.0 2.6
imports of goods 18.5 12.0 6.4 15.4
imports of services 14.9 3.4 -6.7 5 2
NOTE. In the fourth quarter, GDP totalled 839.4 billion crowns in nominal
terms. All data from previous quarters are revised.
CZECH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 01/07 12/06 01/06 01-12/06
(CZK billions)
I. CURRENT ACCOUNT 5.49 -14.91 4.34 -133.76
Trade balance 10.96 -2.85 11.99 44.39
Balance of services 0.64 -2.11 0.39 12.51
Income balance -2.52 -10.72 -6.50 -183.43
Current transfers -3.58 0.77 -1.55 -7.24
II. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 1.05 2.73 1.33 8.63
III. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT -15.21 6.58 -10.82 109.54
Net Direct Investment 12.67 20.83 13.09 104.31
Czech abroad -1.05 -1.55 -0.61 -30.37
Into Czech Republic 13.73 22.38 13.70 134.68
Net Portfolio Investment -12.82 9.41 -2.43 -26.88
Assets -3.31 -2.88 -10.22 -68.38
Liabilities -9.52 12.29 7.79 41.50
Other Investments -9.50 -22.46 -21.37 40.51
Change in foreign exchange
reserves (minus = growth) -0.53 1.20 3.96 -2.07
IV. BALANCE OF OMISSIONS &
EXCHANGE RATE ADJUSTMENTS 8.67 5.60 5.16 15.60
NOTE. All 2007 figures are subject to revision. The 2006 figures are
revised. The CNB releases the monthly figures according to ECB methodology.
CZECH FOREX RESERVES END-FEB 07 END-JAN 07 END-FEB 06
euro bln 23.882 24.220 24.934
$ bln 31.550 31.376 29.612
CZK bln 675.864 682.021 706.246
NOTE. The central bank said it sold foreign currency worth an equivalent of
44 million euros in spot foreign exchange market operations in January. It
bought foreign currency worth 136.18 million euros in client operations in
January.
MONETARY BASE END-FEB 07 END-JAN 07 END-FEB 06
(in CZK bln)
CNB monetary base 354.7 349.4 316.7
currency 317.6 313.6 285.8
bank reserves 37.1 35.9 30.9
mandatory reserves 37.1 36.7 33.6
CZECH M2 MONEY SUPPLY END-JAN 07 END-DEC 06 END-JAN 06
M1 change yr/yr 14.2 14.0 13.9
M2 change yr/yr 10.2 9.9 8.9
Loans to businesses
and households yr/yr 20.5 20.5 20.2
M2-M1 (deposits) yr/yr 5.4 4.9 3.2
CONSUMER INFLATION FEB 07 JAN 07 FEB 06
pct change month/month 0.3 1.0 0.1
pct change year/year 1.5 1.3 2.8
NOTE. The CSU added the sliding average rate of inflation over the past 12
months was 2.3 percent.
CZECH UNEMPLOYMENT FEB 07 JAN 07 FEB 06
pct of workforce 7.7 7.9 9.1
number of available
jobless 422,944 434,940 493,114
total number of jobless 454,737 465,458 528,154
NOTE. The number of available jobless shows how many people registered as
unemployed by labour offices are able to start work shortly. The total number of
jobless is for all jobless registered by labour offices.
PRODUCER PRICES FEB 07 JAN 07 FEB 06
Industrial prices
pct change month/month 0.5 1.2 0.2
pct change year/year 3.2 2.8 0.3
Construction prices
pct change month/month 0.2 0.4 0.2
pct change year/year 3.2 3.2 2.4
Agricultural prices
pct change month/month 0.6 2.1 -0.5
pct change year/year 13.0 11.8 -4.7
Services
pct change month/month 0.7 -0.5 1.2
pct change year/year 1.5 2.0 3.9
NOTE. All 2007 data are subject to further revision.
FOREIGN TRADE JAN 07 DEC 06 JAN 06 JAN-DEC 06
(in bln CZK)
exports 186.72 170.23 164.11 2,144.00
imports 175.76 173.08 152.12 2,099.60
balance 10.96 -2.85 11.99 44.39
DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change in CZK terms)
nominal exports 13.8 n/a n/a n/a
nominal imports 15.5 n/a n/a n/a
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Numbers may not add up due
to rounding.
CZECH STATE BUDGET JAN-FEB 07 END-JAN 07 JAN-FEB 06
revenue (CZK bln) 147.57 83.14 148.83
expenditure 154.30 78.11 149.39
balance 6.73 5.03 -0.56
NOTE. The 2007 budget was approved by parliament with a gap of 91.3 billion
crowns.
GOVERNMENT DEBT DEC 06 SEPT 06 JUNE 06 DEC 05
(CZK bln)
total 802.5 746.3 728.9 691.2
average maturity
(in years) 6.2 5.9 6.1 5.8
marketable debt 765.0 711.3 696.1 660.6
modified duration
(in years) 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.9
NOTE. Data show levels as of the end of the period listed. The modified
duration figure stands for marketable debt only and includes the Finance
Ministry's interest rate swap transactions. Average maturity was within the
ministry's target of 6.0-7.0 years.
CZECH AVG WAGE Q4/06 Q3/06 Q4/05 2006 2005
Monthly wage (nominal) 21,952 19,955 20,669 20.211 18,985
real change y/y (pct) 4.6 3.0 1.5 3.9 3.2
nominal change y/y 6.2 6.0 3.9 6.5 5.2
Private sector in CZK 22,021 20,086 20,631 20.333 19,045
real change y/y (pct) 5.1 3.1 2.2 4.2 3.1
nominal change y/y 6.7 6.1 4.7 6.8 5.1
Public sector in CZK 21,712 19,486 20,800 19,784 18,775
real change y/y (pct) 2.9 2.4 -1.3 2.8 3.7
nominal change y/y 4.4 5.4 1.1 5.4 5.7
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision.
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT JAN 07 DEC 06 JAN 06 JAN-DEC 06
Real pct change y/y 9.8 3.0 15.5 9.7
Industrial sales 11.0 4.9 16.7 10.3
Productivity 7.8 4.6 14.9 9.2
Monthly wage
avg nominal 9.2 5.0 6.4 6.0
avg real 7.8 3.2 3.2 3.4
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Seasonally adjusted
industrial output was up 2.3 percent month-on-month.
CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT JAN 07 DEC 06 JAN 06 JAN-DEC 06
real pct change y/y 29.2 15.4 -1.2 6.6
Monthly wage
avg nominal 15.5 12.4 5.0 7.3
avg real 14.0 10.5 5.9 4.7
Productivity
y/y change in pct 29.4 15.7 -3.1 6.3
Construction permits
y/y pct chg -2.8 -1.8 -0.7 -5.3
NOTE. All figures are subject to further revision. Seasonally-adjusted
construction output rose a real 3.1 percent over the previous month.
DEC 06 NOV 06 DEC 05 JAN-DEC 06
RETAIL SALES (pct chg y/y) 4.4 6.5 (6.4) 2.1 6.4