UPDATE 1-TABLE-Czech right leads over opposition

...Wednesday. 
    Both surveys showed the current ruling coalition would win 
majority in the lower house of parliament if election was held 
now, but they diverged in the dynamics of support for the main 
parties. 
    The right-wing Civic Democrats formed a cabinet with the 
centrist Christian Democrats and the Green Party in January, 
more than seven months after election last June. 
    But the coalition holds just 100 seats in the lower house 
and barely squeezed through a confidence vote thanks to the 
abstention of two rebel leftist deputies which gave it a 
majority of deputies present. 
    A poll by the CVVM agency, excluding undecided and 
non-voting respondents, showed the coalition would now win 53.5 
percent of the vote versus a total of 43 percent for the 
opposition Social Democrats and the Communists. 
    Last month, the coalition would win 52.5 percent versus 44 
for the opposition, according to CVVM. 
    A separate poll by the STEM agency showed support for the 
coalition at 47.4 percent, versus 35.8 percent for the 
opposition. Last month, the coalition polled 50.1 percent and 
the opposition 34.6 percent. 
    In early April, the government presented a range of reforms 
cutting spending and lowering taxes, mainly for the rich. The 
reforms however sparked protests within the coalition, and its 
fate in parliament is uncertain.  
    The government has said it would try provoke early election 
if the reforms fail when presented to parliament over the 
summer. 
     
 DATE    INSTITUTE   ODS    CSSD   KSCM   KDU-CSL  Greens 
 April 18  STEM      29.2   24.9   10.9    6.6      11.6 
 April 18  CVVM      35.0   29.0   14.0    8.0      10.5 
 March 28  FI        35.1   26.9   13.0    8.2      11.0 
 March 21  CVVM      34.5   29.0   15.0    9.0       9.0 
 March 14  STEM      32.0   23.7   10.9    7.0      11.1 
 Feb 26    FI        34.7   29.5   13.3    7.3       7.6 
 Feb 21    CVVM      34.5   26.0   15.5    8.0      12.0 
 Feb 15    STEM      31.3   23.4   12.7    7.6      10.3 
 Feb 1     CVVM      37.0   24.5   16.0    8.0      11.5 
 Jan 26    FI        36.5   29.5   14.1    7.3       7.6 
 Jan 16    STEM      32.3   20.9   12.4    7.5      11.1 
 Dec 20    CVVM      38.0   23.5   11.5   11.0      12.0 
 Dec 15    STEM      32.9   20.6   13.1    7.0      11.2 
 Dec 07    FI        35.8   30.9   14.3    6.6       7.2 
 Nov 23    CVVM      41.0   26.0   11.0    7.0      11.0 
 Nov 15    STEM      35.1   20.7   10.9    7.5       9.4 
 Nov 10    FI        41.1   27.7   12.7    6.0       7.1 
 Oct 23    CVVM      36.0   30.5   15.0    6.0       9.5 
 Oct 16    FI        35.9   27.2   13.9    6.9       8.4 
 Oct 15    STEM      32.0   22.7   11.7    6.3      10.5 
 Sept 22   CVVM      37.0   29.5   13.0    8.0      10.0 
 Sept 21   STEM      32.8   26.6   10.0    4.2      10.3 
 Sept 18   FI        36.3   32.0   13.7    6.5       7.3 
 Aug 7     FI        41.0   30.8   12.3    6.3       6.9 
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June 2-3 election    35.4   32.3   12.8    7.2       6.3 
  
 NOTE. The CVVM poll was conducted between April 2 and April 9 
among 1,011 Czechs. The STEM poll was done between April 2 and 
April 10 among 1,191 respondents. 
 The parties are: 
 - Civic Democratic Party (ODS) - right wing, 
liberal-conservative 
 - The Czech Social Democratic Party (CSSD) - leftist 
 - Christian Democratic Union-Czechoslovak People's Party 
(KDU-CSL) - centrist 
 - The Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia (KSCM) - far left 
 - The Greens - environmentalists, centrist. 
   Pollsters: The FI and CVVM results are based on a model 
predicting gains at the poll box, excluding those not willing to 
vote and undecided. 
   STEM results are direct voter preferences, and include 
replies from all respondents including those not willing to 
vote. Parties should thus win a larger than indicated share of 
the vote at the election.