(last updated on May 9 with end-April forex reserves and March foreign trade) ...
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KEY INTEREST RATES 2-WEEK REPO DISCOUNT LOMBARD
rate 2.50 pct 1.50 pct 3.50 pct
last changed
(date of decision) Sept 27, 2006 Sept 27, 2006 Sept 27,2006
former rate 2.25 pct 1.25 pct 3.25 pct
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CZECH GDP (in pct) Q4/06 Q3/06 Q4/05 2006
Real change yr/yr 5.8 5.9 6.7 6.1
Final consumption 4.6 2.5 2.0 3.2
Household 5.4 4.3 2.9 4.6
Government 2.6 -1.8 -0.1 0.3
Gross capital formation 11.1 13.0 4.8 12.2
fixed capital formation 7.6 8.0 3.2 7.3
Foreign trade balance n/a n/a n/a n/a
exports of goods 18.1 12.8 12.2 16.2
export of services 12.4 4.0 -5.0 2.6
imports of goods 18.5 12.0 6.4 15.4
imports of services 14.9 3.4 -6.7 5 2
NOTE. In the fourth quarter, GDP totalled 839.4 billion crowns in nominal
terms. All data from previous quarters are revised.
CZECH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 02/07 01/07 02/06 01-02/07
(CZK billions)
I. CURRENT ACCOUNT 4.00 5.49 -0.61 9.49
Trade balance 13.61 10.96 4.84 24.56
Balance of services 1.24 0.64 0.09 1.87
Income balance -6.68 -2.52 -6.09 -9.20
Current transfers -4.17 -3.58 0.56 -7.75
II. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 1.13 1.05 0.30 2.17
III. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT 5.18 -15.21 6.08 -10.03
Net Direct Investment 13.38 12.67 -4.16 26.05
Czech abroad -1.57 -1.05 -0.85 -2.62
Into Czech Republic 14.95 13.73 -3.31 28.67
Net Portfolio Investment 1.51 -12.82 -3.85 -11.32
Assets -7.11 -3.31 -3.18 -10.42
Liabilities 8.62 -9.52 -0.67 -0.90
Other Investments -7.61 -9.50 17.79 -17.11
Change in foreign exchange
reserves (minus = growth) 1.04 -0.53 -4.59 0.51
IV. BALANCE OF OMISSIONS &
EXCHANGE RATE ADJUSTMENTS -10.31 8.67 -5.77 -1.64
NOTE. All 2007 figures are subject to revision. The 2006 figures are
revised. The CNB releases the monthly figures according to ECB methodology.
CZECH FOREX RESERVES END-APRIL 07 END-MARCH 07 END-APRIL 06
euro bln 23.568 23.826 24.160
$ bln 32.064 31.734 30.288
CZK bln 662.862 667.138 686.872
NOTE. The central bank said it sold foreign currency worth an equivalent of
50 million euros in spot foreign exchange market operations in March. It bought
foreign currency worth 214.90 million euros in client operations in March.
MONETARY BASE END-MAR 07 END-FEB 07 END-MAR 06
(in CZK bln)
CNB monetary base 355.4 354.7 311.0
currency 321.6 317.6 287.6
bank reserves 33.8 37.1 23.3
mandatory reserves 38.0 37.1 33.8
CZECH M2 MONEY SUPPLY END-MAR 07 END-FEB 07 END-MAR 06
M1 change yr/yr 14.1 14.9 11.6
M2 change yr/yr 10.6 10.6 8.9
Loans to businesses
and households yr/yr 20.8 20.3 19.9
M2-M1 (deposits) yr/yr 6.5 5.5 5.8
CONSUMER INFLATION MARCH 07 FEB 07 MARCH 06
pct change month/month 0.3 0.3 -0.1
pct change year/year 1.9 1.5 2.8
NOTE. The CSU added the sliding average rate of inflation over the past 12
months was 2.2 percent.
CZECH UNEMPLOYMENT MARCH 07 FEB 07 MARCH 06
pct of workforce 7.3 7.7 8.8
number of available
jobless 399,618 422,944 479,984
total number of jobless 430,474 454,737 514,759
NOTE. The number of available jobless shows how many people registered as
unemployed by labour offices are able to start work shortly. The total number of
jobless is for all jobless registered by labour offices.
PRODUCER PRICES MARCH 07 FEB 07 MARC 06
Industrial prices
pct change month/month 0.5 0.5 0.1
pct change year/year 3.6 3.2 0.3
Construction prices
pct change month/month 0.6 0.2 0.1
pct change year/year 3.7 3.2 2.3
Agricultural prices
pct change month/month 2.0 0.6 0.2
pct change year/year 15.0 13.0 -3.6
Services
pct change month/month 1.1 0.7 0.7
pct change year/year 1.8 1.5 3.9
NOTE. All 2007 data are subject to further revision.
FOREIGN TRADE MARCH 07 FEB 07 MARCH 06 JAN-MARCH 07
(in bln CZK)
exports 213.57 190.70 188.98 590.98
imports 201.17 177.09 179.87 554.02
balance 12.40 13.61 9.12 36.96
DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change in CZK terms)
nominal exports 13.0 19.5 22.3 15.3
nominal imports 11.8 14.5 21.7 13.8
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Numbers may not add up due
to rounding.
CZECH STATE BUDGET JAN-APRIL 07 END-MARCH 07 JAN-APRIL 06
revenue (CZK bln) 318.22 241.98 299.66
expenditure 335.23 230.72 319.61
balance -17.01 11.26 -19.95
NOTE. The 2007 budget was approved by parliament with a gap of 91.3 billion
crowns.
GOVERNMENT DEBT MARCH 07 DEC 06 SEPT 06 MARCH 06
(CZK bln)
total 811.7 802.5 746.3 698.2
average maturity
(in years) 6.5 6.2 5.9 6.2
marketable debt 774.4 765.0 711.3 667.4
modified duration
(in years) 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.8
NOTE. Data show levels as of the end of the period listed. The modified
duration figure stands for marketable debt only and includes the Finance
Ministry's interest rate swap transactions. Average maturity was within the
ministry's target of 6.0-7.0 years.
CZECH AVG WAGE Q4/06 Q3/06 Q4/05 2006 2005
Monthly wage (nominal) 21,952 19,955 20,669 20.211 18,985
real change y/y (pct) 4.6 3.0 1.5 3.9 3.2
nominal change y/y 6.2 6.0 3.9 6.5 5.2
Private sector in CZK 22,021 20,086 20,631 20.333 19,045
real change y/y (pct) 5.1 3.1 2.2 4.2 3.1
nominal change y/y 6.7 6.1 4.7 6.8 5.1
Public sector in CZK 21,712 19,486 20,800 19,784 18,775
real change y/y (pct) 2.9 2.4 -1.3 2.8 3.7
nominal change y/y 4.4 5.4 1.1 5.4 5.7
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision.
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT FEB 07 JAN 07 FEB 06 JAN-FEB 07
Real pct change y/y 15.4 10.7 (9.8) 11.6 13.0
Industrial sales 16.8 11.9(11.0) 11.6 14.3
Productivity 13.0 8.4 (7.8) 10.0 10.6
Monthly wage
avg nominal 6.8 9.1 (9.2) 6.1 8.0
avg real 5.2 7.7 (7.8) 3.0 6.5
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Seasonally adjusted
industrial output was up 1.9 percent month-on-month.
CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT FEB 07 JAN 07 FEB 06 JAN-FEB 07
real pct change y/y 32.5 29.2 -8.2 31.0
Monthly wage
avg nominal 13.0 15.5 -4.5 14.3
avg real 11.3 14.0 -7.1 12.7
Productivity
y/y change in pct 32.6 29.4 -11.2 31.1
Construction permits
y/y pct chg 7.7 -2.8 -5.9 2.1
NOTE. All figures are subject to further revision. Seasonally-adjusted
construction output rose a real 2.6 percent over the previous month.
FEB 07 JAN 07 FEB 06 JAN-FEB 07
RETAIL SALES (pct chg y/y) 9.4 7.6 (7.7) 7.4 8.5