(last updated on July 2 with end-June state budget)
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...KEY INTEREST RATES 2-WEEK REPO DISCOUNT LOMBARD
rate 2.75 pct 1.75 pct 3.75 pct
last changed
(date of decision) May 31, 2007 May 31, 2007 May 31,2007
former rate 2.50 pct 1.50 pct 3.50 pct
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CZECH GDP (in pct) Q1/07 Q4/06 Q1/06 2006
Real change yr/yr 6.1 6.1 6.6 6.4
Final consumption 4.7 4.6 3.8 3.4
Household 6.7 5.4 3.8 4.4
Government 0.4 2.4 3.8 1.1
Gross capital formation 13.4 10.2 7.5 11.7
fixed capital formation 1.5 8.1 6.8 7.6
Foreign trade balance n/a n/a n/a n/a
exports of goods 16.7 19.2 21.8 16.9
export of services -1.3 3.2 17.9 9.1
imports of goods 17.9 19.0 18.7 15.6
imports of services 5.1 4.4 27.8 12 8
NOTE. In the first quarter, GDP totalled 816.1 billion crowns in nominal
terms. All data from previous quarters are revised.
CZECH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 04/07 03/07 04/06 01-04/07
(CZK billions)
I. CURRENT ACCOUNT -16.79 8.53 -8.95 -3.40
Trade balance 5.55 15.33 0.45 47.72
Balance of services 3.60 2.34 3.93 8.87
Income balance -23.16 -11.08 -12.60 -53.82
Current transfers -2.77 1.94 -0.73 -6.18
II. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 0.26 0.43 0.49 2.88
III. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT 6.45 -17.92 0.61 -8.82
Net Direct Investment 12.52 1.55 12.08 38.79
Czech abroad -0.74 -1.13 -0.78 -4.74
Into Czech Republic 13.26 2.69 12.86 43.53
Net Portfolio Investment 1.09 -6.90 -21.58 -18.56
Assets -7.48 -6.50 -18.77 -24.75
Liabilities 8.57 -0.40 -2.81 6.19
Other Investments -9.89 -9.55 -10.33 -34.95
Change in foreign exchange
reserves (minus = growth) 0.73 -1.32 0.45 -0.09
IV. BALANCE OF OMISSIONS &
EXCHANGE RATE ADJUSTMENTS 10.08 8.97 7.85 9.35
NOTE. All 2007 figures are subject to revision. The 2006 figures are
revised. The CNB releases the monthly figures according to ECB methodology.
CZECH FOREX RESERVES END-MAY 07 END-APRIL 07 END-MAY 06
euro bln 23.371 23.577 23.890
$ bln 31.445 32.076 30.750
CZK bln 661.980 663.110 673.830
NOTE. The central bank said it sold foreign currency worth an equivalent of
50 million euros in spot foreign exchange market operations in April. It sold
foreign currency worth 85.95 million euros in client operations in April.
MONETARY BASE END-MAY 07 END-APR 07 END-MAY 06
(in CZK bln)
CNB monetary base 396.4 367.6 328.2
currency 331.6 328.7 294.5
bank reserves 64.9 38.9 33.7
mandatory reserves 38.8 38.6 34.1
CZECH M2 MONEY SUPPLY END-MAY 07 END-APR 07 END-MAY 06
M1 change yr/yr 15.3 15.1 15.2
M2 change yr/yr 12.1 11.4 7.8
Loans to businesses
and households yr/yr 21.0 21.0 21.2
M2-M1 (deposits) yr/yr 8.0 7.0 -0.4
CONSUMER INFLATION MAY 07 APRIL 07 MAY 06
pct change month/month 0.4 0.7 0.5
pct change year/year 2.4 2.5 3.1
NOTE. The CSU added the sliding average rate of inflation over the past 12
months was 2.1 percent.
CZECH UNEMPLOYMENT MAY 2007 APRIL 07 MAY 06
pct of workforce 6.4 6.8 7.9
number of available
jobless 353,604 372,764 431,725
total number of jobless 382,599 402,932 463,042
NOTE. The number of available jobless shows how many people registered as
unemployed by labour offices are able to start work shortly. The total number of
jobless is for all jobless registered by labour offices.
PRODUCER PRICES MAY 07 APRIL 07 MAY 06
Industrial prices
pct change month/month 0.6 0.6 0.3
pct change year/year 4.1 3.7 1.5
Construction prices
pct change month/month 0.3 0.2 0.4
pct change year/year 3.5 3.6 2.7
Agricultural prices
pct change month/month 0.3 -0.7 0.6
pct change year/year 12.1 12.5 0.2
Services
pct change month/month 0.4 0.2 -0.1
pct change year/year 2.0 1.5 4.0
NOTE. All 2007 data are subject to further revision.
FOREIGN TRADE APRIL 07 MARCH 07 APRIL 06 JAN-APRIL 07
(in bln CZK)
exports 193.75 216.60(213.57) 161.83 792.40
imports 190.74 204.02(201.17) 163.25 754.86
balance 3.00 12.59 (12.40) -1.43 37.53
DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change in CZK terms)
nominal exports 19.7 14.5 (13.0) n/a 17.4
nominal imports 16.8 13.2 (11.8) n/a 16.0
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Numbers may not add up due
to rounding.
CZECH STATE BUDGET JAN-JUNE 07 JAN-MAY 07 JAN-JUNE 06
revenue (CZK bln) 483.32 378.15 468.82
expenditure 482.04 404.13 461.18
balance 1.27 -25.98 7.64
NOTE. The 2007 budget was approved by parliament with a gap of 91.3 billion
crowns.
GOVERNMENT DEBT MARCH 07 DEC 06 SEPT 06 MARCH 06
(CZK bln)
total 811.7 802.5 746.3 698.2
average maturity
(in years) 6.5 6.2 5.9 6.2
marketable debt 774.4 765.0 711.3 667.4
modified duration
(in years) 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.8
NOTE. Data show levels as of the end of the period listed. The modified
duration figure stands for marketable debt only and includes the Finance
Ministry's interest rate swap transactions. Average maturity was within the
ministry's target of 6.0-7.0 years.
CZECH AVG WAGE Q1/07 Q4/06 Q1/06 2006 2005
Monthly wage (nominal) 20,399 21,947 18,918 20.207 18,992
real change y/y (pct) 6.2 4.5 4.1 3.8 3.3
nominal change y/y 7.8 6.1 7.0 6.4 5.3
Private sector in CZK 20,656 22,015 19,072 20.328 19,055
real change y/y (pct) 6.7 5.0 4.4 4.1 3.1
nominal change y/y 8.3 6.6 7.3 6.7 5.1
Public sector in CZK 19,501 21,712 18,385 19,784 18,777
real change y/y (pct) 4.5 2.9 3.0 2.8 3.7
nominal change y/y 6.1 4.4 5.9 5.4 5.7
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision.
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT APR 07 MAR 07 APR 06 JAN-APR 07
Real pct change y/y 14.0 11.0(12.7) 3.5 12.2
Industrial sales 14.4 11.8(13.2) 3.2 13.1
Productivity 10.8 8.3 (9.1) 2.1 9.7
Monthly wage
avg nominal 8.8 7.6 (7.1) 5.4 8.2
avg real 6.1 5.6 (5.1) 2.3 6.3
NOTE. Brackets denote previously reported data. All data are subject to
further revision. Seasonally adjusted industrial output was down 0.5 percent
month-on-month.
CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT APR 07 MAR 07 APR 06 JAN-APR 07
real pct change y/y 17.6 26.4(26.4) -3.0 25.1
Monthly wage
avg nominal 11.2 10.9(11.0) 1.7 12.5
avg real 8.5 8.8 (8.9) -1.0 10.5
Productivity
y/y change in pct 17.7 24.1(25.1) -3.0 24.6
Construction permits
y/y pct chg -8.1 3.6 (3.6) -10.8 -0.3
NOTE. All figures are subject to further revision. Brackets denote
previously reported data. Seasonally-adjusted construction output dipped 1.2
percent over the previous month.
APR 07 MAR 07 APR 06 JAN-APR 07
RETAIL SALES (pct chg y/y) 8.1 10.5 5.0 9.0