(last updated on Oct 12 with Sept producer prices, end-Sept monetary base
and Aug industrial and construction output) ...
...-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KEY INTEREST RATES 2-WEEK REPO DISCOUNT LOMBARD
rate 3.25 pct 2.25 pct 4.25 pct
last changed
(date of decision) Aug 30, 2007 Aug 30, 2007 Aug 30, 2007
former rate 3.00 pct 2.00 pct 4.00 pct
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CZECH GDP (in pct) Q2/07 Q1/07 Q2/06
Real change yr/yr 6.0 6.4 6.5
Final consumption 3.9 4.9 2.7
Household 6.5 7.2 4.1
Government -1.6 0.2 -0.5
Gross capital formation 10.3 11.1 15.0
fixed capital formation 4.2 4.0 7.5
Foreign trade balance n/a n/a n/a
exports of goods 15.1 16.8 13.4
export of services 4.9 4.1 10.3
imports of goods 14.9 17.6 12.4
imports of services 6.5 4.1 15.0
NOTE. In the second quarter, GDP totalled 899.7 billion crowns in nominal
terms.
CZECH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 07/07 06/07 07/06 01-07/07
(CZK billions)
I. CURRENT ACCOUNT -8.80 -12.87 -20.24 -37.11
Trade balance 1.95 10.75 -0.66 73.71
Balance of services 5.37 4.35 3.27 28.51
Income balance -14.53 -27.01 -20.92 -126.94
Current transfers -1.59 -0.97 -1.94 -12.39
II. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 2.62 0.00 1.15 5.49
III. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT -4.17 0.16 21.31 18.98
Net Direct Investment 22.04 2.43 7.60 79.97
Czech abroad -0.77 -3.86 -2.33 -10.97
Into Czech Republic 22.81 6.29 9.93 90.94
Net Portfolio Investment -11.45 -9.41 -5.61 -37.04
Assets -5.32 -12.10 -6.98 -51.40
Liabilities -6.13 2.69 1.37 14.37
Other Investments -6.27 -2.24 21.65 -38.22
Change in foreign exchange
reserves (minus = growth) -0.58 2.99 -1.30 7.13
IV. BALANCE OF OMISSIONS &
EXCHANGE RATE ADJUSTMENTS 10.35 12.71 -2.22 12.64
NOTE. All 2007 figures are subject to revision. The 2006 figures are
revised. The CNB releases the monthly figures according to ECB methodology.
CZECH FOREX RESERVES END-SEPT 07 END-AUG 07 END-SEPT 06
euro bln 23.113 23.476 24.298
$ bln 32.766 32.177 30.765
CZK bln 638.025 650.867 688.364
NOTE. The central bank said it sold foreign currency worth an equivalent of
69 million euros in spot foreign exchange market operations in August. It bought
foreign currency worth 63.98 million euros in client operations in August.
MONETARY BASE END-SEPT 07 END-AUG 07 END-SEPT 06
(in CZK bln)
CNB monetary base 384.8 365.9 318.5
currency 341.3 336.5 307.9
bank reserves 43.5 29.5 10.6
mandatory reserves 41.1 40.8 35.8
CZECH M2 MONEY SUPPLY END-AUG 07 END-JULY 07 END-AUG 06
M1 change yr/yr 12.8 15.4 16.0
M2 change yr/yr 11.4 11.4 9.3
Loans to businesses
and households yr/yr 23.6 22.5 20.3
M2-M1 (deposits) yr/yr 9.5 6.0 1.6
CONSUMER INFLATION SEPT 07 AUG 07 SEPT 06
pct change month/month -0.3 0.3 -0.7
pct change year/year 2.8 2.4 2.7
NOTE. The CSU added the sliding average rate of inflation over the past 12
months was 2.0 percent.
CZECH UNEMPLOYMENT SEPT 07 AUG 07 SEPT 06
pct of workforce 6.2 6.4 7.8
number of available
jobless 340,371 351,230 427,331
total number of jobless 364,978 372,759 454,182
NOTE. The number of available jobless shows how many people registered as
unemployed by labour offices are able to start work shortly. The total number of
jobless is for all jobless registered by labour offices.
PRODUCER PRICES SEPT 07 AUG 07 SEPT 06
Industrial prices
pct change month/month 0.1 -0.1 -0.2
pct change year/year 4.0 3.7 2.4
Construction prices
pct change month/month 0.5 0.3 0.2
pct change year/year 3.8 3.6 3.1
Agricultural prices
pct change month/month 4.3 3.0 2.1
pct change year/year 18.1 15.6 4.4
Services
pct change month/month 0.9 0.2 0.2
pct change year/year 1.6 1.0 3.4
NOTE. All 2007 data are subject to further revision.
FOREIGN TRADE AUG 07 JULY 07 AUG 06 JAN-AUG 07
(in bln CZK)
exports 186.35 194.31 166.27 1,592.42
imports 186.94 195.04 167.37 1,537.34
balance -0.59 -0.73 -1.11 55.08
DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change in CZK terms)
nominal exports 12.1 20.7 10.8 16.6
nominal imports 11.7 18.7 8.3 14.9
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Numbers may not add up due
to rounding.
CZECH STATE BUDGET JAN-SEPT 07 JAN-AUG 07 JAN-SEPT 06
revenue (CZK bln) 748.52 656.66 673.50
expenditure 712.21 634.44 672.01
balance 36.32 22.23 1.49
NOTE. The 2007 budget was approved by parliament with a gap of 91.3 billion
crowns.
GOVERNMENT DEBT SEPT 07 JUNE 07 MARCH 07 SEPT 06
(CZK bln)
total 842.7 856.1 811.7 746.3
average maturity
(in years) 6.5 6.4 6.5 5.9
marketable debt 803.3 817.0 774.4 711.3
modified duration
(in years) 4.1 4.0 4.1 3.8
NOTE. Data show levels as of the end of the period listed. The modified
duration figure stands for marketable debt only and includes the Finance
Ministry's interest rate swap transactions. Average maturity was within the
ministry's target of 6.0-7.0 years.
CZECH AVG WAGE Q2/07 Q1/07 Q2/06 H1/07 H1/06
Monthly wage (nominal) 21,462 20,399 19,982 20.938 19,453
real change y/y (pct) 4.9 6.2 3.6 5.5 3.8
nominal change y/y 7.4 7.8 6.6 7.6 6.8
Private sector in CZK 21,687 20,656 20,116 21.174 19,596
real change y/y (pct) 5.3 6/7 3.7 6.0 4.0
nominal change y/y 7.8 8.3 6.7 8.1 7.0
Public sector in CZK 20,673 19,501 19,520 20,106 18,956
real change y/y (pct) 3.4 4.5 2.9 4.0 2.9
nominal change y/y 5.9 6.1 5.9 6.1 5.9
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision.
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT AUG 07 JULY 07 AUG 06 JAN-AUG 07
Real pct change y/y 5.5 11.5 7.3 9.9
Industrial sales 7.0 13.0 6.7 11.1
Productivity 4.7 9.5 5.5 7.9
Monthly wage
avg nominal 7.2 9.4 5.6 7.9
avg real 4.7 6.9 2.4 5.7
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Seasonally adjusted
industrial output was down 0.8 percent month-on-month.
CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT AUG 07 JULY 07 AUG 06 JAN-AUG 07
real pct change y/y 3.3 -1.7 6.3 8.9
Monthly wage
avg nominal 7.5 8.0 7.9 9.5
avg real 5.0 5.6 4.7 7.2
Productivity
y/y change in pct 5.1 0.0 6.2 9.3
Construction permits
y/y pct chg -17.0 -17.5 -5.6 -11.0
NOTE. All figures are subject to further revision. Seasonally-adjusted
construction output rose 1.4 percent over the previous month.
JULY 07 JUNE 07 JULY 06 JAN-JULY 07
RETAIL SALES (pct chg y/y) 8.9 7.6 (7.2) 6.6 8.8