...2006 election, an opinion poll showed on Wednesday. The poll by the private Factum Invenio agency put support for Social Democrats at 34.2 percent, up from 31.5 percent a month ago, while the Civic Democrats dropped to 27.9 percent, down from 30.2 last month. The Civic Democrats rule in a shaky coalition with the centrist Christian Democrats (KDU-CSL) and the Green Party. The survey directly contradicts a poll by the STEM agency last week, which put the Civic Democrats ahead. Factum Invenio said its election model showed the three-party coalition would win just 94 seats in the 200-seat lower house of parliament if election was held now, with the other 106 seats going to the Social Democrats and the far-left Communists. The next elections are not scheduled until 2010. DATE INSTITUTE ODS CSSD KSCM KDU-CSL Greens Nov 21 FI 27.9 34.2 15.3 8.0 10.2 Nov 14 STEM 27.5 26.9 12.1 5.7 9.4 Oct 22 FI 30.2 31.5 15.8 8.3 6.9 Oct 19 CVVM 30.0 36.0 15.0 8.0 9.0 Oct 16 STEM 25.9 30.5 11.3 6.6 8.8 Sept 24 FI 32.2 33.0 15.3 6.8 7.1 Sept 19 CVVM 31.0 33.0 14.5 9.0 10.0 Sept 17 STEM 27.0 28.7 12.2 7.3 9.1 Aug 10 FI 33.8 30.7 13.3 8.8 6.9 June 20 CVVM 32.0 32.0 14.5 8.0 10.5 June 19 STEM 29.3 27.0 12.5 5.9 9.9 June 16 FI 33.5 30.8 12.7 8.8 9.2 May 23 CVVM 35.0 29.0 15.5 9.5 9.0 May 17 STEM 28.6 27.6 12.6 6.6 9.2 May 9 FI 34.5 32.3 12.2 9.1 7.0 April 18 STEM 29.2 24.9 10.9 6.6 11.6 April 18 CVVM 35.0 29.0 14.0 8.0 10.5 March 28 FI 35.1 26.9 13.0 8.2 11.0 March 21 CVVM 34.5 29.0 15.0 9.0 9.0 March 14 STEM 32.0 23.7 10.9 7.0 11.1 Feb 26 FI 34.7 29.5 13.3 7.3 7.6 Feb 21 CVVM 34.5 26.0 15.5 8.0 12.0 Feb 15 STEM 31.3 23.4 12.7 7.6 10.3 Feb 1 CVVM 37.0 24.5 16.0 8.0 11.5 Jan 26 FI 36.5 29.5 14.1 7.3 7.6 Jan 16 STEM 32.3 20.9 12.4 7.5 11.1 Dec 20 CVVM 38.0 23.5 11.5 11.0 12.0 Dec 15 STEM 32.9 20.6 13.1 7.0 11.2 Dec 07 FI 35.8 30.9 14.3 6.6 7.2 Nov 23 CVVM 41.0 26.0 11.0 7.0 11.0 Nov 15 STEM 35.1 20.7 10.9 7.5 9.4 Nov 10 FI 41.1 27.7 12.7 6.0 7.1 Oct 23 CVVM 36.0 30.5 15.0 6.0 9.5 Oct 16 FI 35.9 27.2 13.9 6.9 8.4 Oct 15 STEM 32.0 22.7 11.7 6.3 10.5 Sept 22 CVVM 37.0 29.5 13.0 8.0 10.0 Sept 21 STEM 32.8 26.6 10.0 4.2 10.3 Sept 18 FI 36.3 32.0 13.7 6.5 7.3 Aug 7 FI 41.0 30.8 12.3 6.3 6.9 ---------------------------------------------------------------- June 2006 election 35.4 32.3 12.8 7.2 6.3 NOTE. The latest Factum Invenio poll was conducted between November 8 and 14 among 1,001 Czechs eligible to vote. The parties are: - Civic Democratic Party (ODS) - right wing, liberal-conservative - The Czech Social Democratic Party (CSSD) - leftist - Christian Democratic Union-Czechoslovak People's Party (KDU-CSL) - centrist - The Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia (KSCM) - far left - The Greens - environmentalists, centrist. Pollsters: The FI and CVVM results are based on a model predicting gains at the poll box, excluding those not willing to vote and undecided. STEM results are direct voter preferences, and include replies from all respondents including those not willing to vote. Parties should thus win a larger than indicated share of the vote at the election. (Reporting by Jan Lopatka) Keywords: CZECH POLITICS/POLL
[PRAGUE/Reuters/Finance.cz]