(last updated on Dec 31 with end-Nov money supply)
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KEY...
...INTEREST RATES 2-WEEK REPO DISCOUNT LOMBARD
rate 3.50 pct 2.50 pct 4.50 pct
last changed
(date of decision) Nov 29, 2007 Nov 29, 2007 Nov 29, 2007
former rate 3.25 pct 2.25 pct 4.25 pct
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CZECH GDP (in pct) Q3/07 Q2/07 Q3/06
Real change yr/yr 6.0 6.3 6.3
Final consumption 3.7 4.2 2.8
Household 5.6 6.0 5.0
Government -0.4 0.2 -2.2
Gross capital formation 9.4 10.2 13.5
fixed capital formation 5.7 6.0 5.2
Foreign trade balance n/a n/a n/a
exports of goods 15.2 14.4 12.9
export of services 11.9 7.7 1.9
imports of goods 14.7 14.6 11.9
imports of services 10.2 4.2 2.3
NOTE. In the third quarter, GDP totalled 900.0 billion crowns in nominal
terms.
CZECH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 10/07 09/07 10/06 01-10/07
(CZK billions)
I. CURRENT ACCOUNT -13.68 -2.40 -21.67 -87.62
Trade balance 11.80 16.61 7.68 102.51
Balance of services 4.14 4.81 2.01 41.85
Income balance -25.98 -21.16 -28.04 -212.52
Current transfers -3.63 -2.66 -3.33 -19.47
II. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 2.30 0.03 0.68 8.66
III. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT 5.32 -6.84 24.00 66.72
Net Direct Investment 18.37 3.78 11.68 120.39
Czech abroad -0.79 -3.18 0.07 -17.33
Into Czech Republic 19.15 6.95 11.60 137.72
Net Portfolio Investment 8.16 -9.27 19.93 -57.73
Assets -17.39 -10.74 5.79 -93.57
Liabilities 25.55 1.47 14.14 35.84
Other Investments -18.03 0.13 -8.00 1.44
Change in foreign exchange
reserves (minus = growth) -0.59 -0.99 0.48 1.88
IV. BALANCE OF OMISSIONS &
EXCHANGE RATE ADJUSTMENTS 6.06 9.21 -3.01 12.24
NOTE. All 2007 figures are subject to revision. The 2006 figures are
revised. The CNB releases the monthly figures according to ECB methodology.
CZECH FOREX RESERVES END-NOV 07 END-OCT 07 END-NOV 06
euro bln 23.364 23.083 23.904
$ bln 34.491 33.347 31.559
CZK bln 613.533 622.549 688.603
NOTE. The central bank said it sold foreign currency worth an equivalent of
69 million euros in spot foreign exchange market operations in October. It
bought foreign currency worth 37.52 million euros in client operations in
October.
CZECH M2 MONEY SUPPLY END-NOV 07 END-OCT 07 END-NOV 06
M1 change yr/yr 11.4 13.5 15.2
M2 change yr/yr 11.3 10.6 9.0
Loans to businesses
and households yr/yr 24.3 24.9 21.3
M2-M1 (deposits) yr/yr 11.1 6.7 1.5
CONSUMER INFLATION NOV 07 OCT 07 NOV 06
pct change month/month 0.9 0.6 -0.1
pct change year/year 5.0 4.0 1.5
NOTE. The CSU added the sliding average rate of inflation over the past 12
months was 2.5 percent.
CZECH UNEMPLOYMENT NOV 07 OCT 07 NOV 06
pct of workforce 5.6 5.8 7.3
number of available
jobless 312,558 320,640 400,044
total number of jobless 341,438 348,842 432,573
NOTE. The number of available jobless shows how many people registered as
unemployed by labour offices are able to start work shortly. The total number of
jobless is for all jobless registered by labour offices.
PRODUCER PRICES NOV 07 OCT 07 NOV 06
Industrial prices
pct change month/month 0.7 0.4 -0.2
pct change year/year 5.4 4.4 2.0
Construction prices
pct change month/month 0.3 0.4 0.2
pct change year/year 4.4 4.3 3.3
Agricultural prices
pct change month/month 3.3 5.9 1.3
pct change year/year 26.9 24.4 5.8
Services
pct change month/month -0.1 0.5 0.0
pct change year/year 1.9 2.0 3.0
NOTE. All 2007 data are subject to further revision.
FOREIGN TRADE OCT 07 SEPT 07 OCT 06 JAN-OCT 07
(in bln CZK)
exports 238.36 212.47(210.06) 209.84 2,053.88
imports 229.75 198.54(195.69) 205.98 1,978.06
balance 8.61 13.93 (14.37) 3.85 75.83
DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change in CZK terms)
nominal exports 13.6 12.3 (11.0) 23.1 16.4
nominal imports 11.5 9.2 (7.6) 22.8 14.6
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Numbers may not add up due
to rounding.
CZECH STATE BUDGET JAN-NOV 07 JAN-OCT 07 JAN-NOV 06
revenue (CZK bln) 908.23 835.37 821.23
expenditure 895.46 808.17 852.15
balance 12.77 27.20 -30.92
NOTE. The 2007 budget was approved by parliament with a gap of 91.3 billion
crowns but the finance ministry has forecast the end-year result would be a
deficit of around 81 billion crowns thanks to better than expected tax
collection.
GOVERNMENT DEBT SEPT 07 JUNE 07 MARCH 07 SEPT 06
(CZK bln)
total 842.7 856.1 811.7 746.3
average maturity
(in years) 6.5 6.4 6.5 5.9
marketable debt 803.3 817.0 774.4 711.3
modified duration
(in years) 4.1 4.0 4.1 3.8
NOTE. Data show levels as of the end of the period listed. The modified
duration figure stands for marketable debt only and includes the Finance
Ministry's interest rate swap transactions. Average maturity was within the
ministry's target of 6.0-7.0 years.
CZECH AVG WAGE Q3/07 Q2/07 Q3/06 Q1-Q3/07 Q1-Q3/06
Monthly wage (nominal) 21,470 21,472 19,954 21,119 19,621
real change y/y (pct) 5.0 5.0 2.9 5.3 3.5
nominal change y/y 7.6 7.5 5.9 7.6 6.5
Private sector in CZK 21,612 21,684 20,085 21,322 19,761
real change y/y (pct) 5.0 5.3 3.1 5.6 3.7
nominal change y/y 7.6 7.8 6.1 7.9 6.7
Public sector in CZK 20,952 20,724 19,486 20,397 19,130
real change y/y (pct) 4.9 3.7 2.4 4.3 2.7
nominal change y/y 7.5 6.2 5.4 6.6 5.7
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision.
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT OCT 07 SEPT 07 OCT 06 JAN-OCT 07
Real pct change y/y 8.4 1.3 (1.2) 12.6 8.9
Industrial sales 9.3 3.3 (3.3) 13.8 10.1
Productivity 7.4 1.6 (1.2) 13.3 7.3
Monthly wage
avg nominal 9.3 6.2 (5.9) 7.6 7.8
avg real 5.1 3.3 (3.0) 6.2 5.3
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Seasonally adjusted
industrial output was up 2.0 percent month-on-month.
CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT OCT 07 SEPT 07 OCT 06 JAN-OCT 07
real pct change y/y 3.5 -1.9 (-1.8) 7.2 6.8
Monthly wage
avg nominal 8.6 4.7 (4.8) 9.3 8.8
avg real 4.4 1.8 (1.9) 7.9 6.3
Productivity
y/y change in pct 5.5 -0 3 (0.0) 6.4 7.3
Construction permits
y/y pct chg -18.6 -14.0(-14.0) 3.6 -12.3
NOTE. All figures are subject to further revision. Seasonally-adjusted
construction output rose 0.9 percent over the previous month.
OCT 07 SEP 07 OCT 06 JAN-OCT 07
RETAIL SALES (pct chg y/y) 9.4 4.1(4.3) 8.9 8.2
(Editing by Mirka Krufova)