(last updated on Dec 20)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED*
KEY INTEREST RATES OVERNIGHT REPO TWO-WEEK REPO
rate (pct) 3.25/6.25 4.75
last changed SEPT 25, 2006 SEPT 25, 2006
former rate (pct) 3.00/6.00 4.50
SLOVAK REAL GDP Q3/06 Q2/06 Q3/05 FY/05
(pct change yr/yr) +9.8 +6.7 +6.3 +6.0
Final consumption
Household +6.5 +5.9 +7.8 +7.2
Government +1.2 +6.6 +2.2 -0.6
Gross fixed capital
formation +6.7 +3.6 +21.0 +17.5
Foreign trade balance
exports of goods
and services +23.8 +18.1 +19.5 +13.8
imports of goods
and services +22.9 +14.0 +17.7 +16.6
SLOVAK REAL GDP 2002 2003 2004 2005
(pct change yr/yr) +4.1 +4.2 +5.4 +6.0 (+6.1)
Final consumption
Household +5.2 +0.1 +3.8 +7.2
Government +5.2 +3.9 +2.0 -0.6 (+0.5)
Gross fixed capital
formation +0.3 -2.3 +5.0 +17.5 (+13.8)
Foreign trade balance
exports of goods
and services +4.7 +15.9 +7.9 +13.8 (+13.5)
imports of goods
and services +4.6 +7.6 +8.8 +16.6 (+15.5)
*C/A BALANCE JAN-OCT 06 JAN-OCT 05
(SKK bln) -109.9 -75.31
*C/A BALANCE JAN-SEPT JAN-AUG 06 JAN-SEPT 05
(SKK bln)
Total -105.6 -87.0 -68.2
Foreign trade -65.4 -54.1 -39.2
Service +13.9 +11.2 +8.7
Income balance -53.6 -45.7 -37.4
Current transfers +1.2 +1.6 -0.3
FOREIGN TRADE OCT 06 SEPT 06 OCT 05 JAN-DEC 05
(SKK bln)
Imports 128.257 124.393 103.493 1,070.893
Exports 123.278 114.519 96.732 994.571
Balance -4.979 -9.874 -6.761 -76.322
DYNAMICS OF TRADE
(pct y/y change in SKK terms)
nominal imports 23.9 29.9 16.7 13.9
nominal exports 27.4 23.0 14.8 11.6
SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI NOV 06 OCT 06 NOV 05
pct change mo/mo +0.6 +0.2 +0.0
pct change yr/yr +4.3 +3.7 +3.4
SLOVAK CORE CPI
pct change mo/mo +0.4 +0.1 +0.0
pct change yr/yr +2.9 +2.4 +1.2
SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION NOV 06 OCT 06 NOV 05
pct change mo/mo +0.5 0.0 0.0
pct change yr/yr +3.7 +3.1 +3.6
CENTRAL STATE BUDGET Jan-Nov/06 Jan-Nov/05 FY 2006 PLAN
(SKK bln)
revenues 262.156 233.706 272.717
expenditure 269.139 241.259 330.185
balance -6.983 -7.553 -57.468
PRODUCER PRICES SEPT 06 AUG 06 SEPT 05
pct change month/month -0.7 +0.6 +0.5
pct change year/year +7.5 +8.8 +5.8
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT OCT 06 SEPT 06 OCT 05
pct change yr/yr 11.1 9.8 4.9
CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT OCT 06 SEPT 06 OCT 05
pct change yr/yr 9.1 11.4 9.4
SELECTED SECTOR SALES OCT 06 SEPT 06 OCT 05 JAN-DEC 05
(pct change yr/yr)
Retail sales +7.6 +10.6 +14.4 +9.7
Hotels and restaurants +8.0 +9.3 +0.5 0.0
Vehicle sales
and maintenance +17.9 +16.5 +6.9 +5.9
SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES OCT 06 SEPT 06 OCT 05 JAN-DEC 05
real pct change yr/yr 1.5 2.3 3.6 4.4
nominal pct change yr/yr 5.3 7.0 7.0 7.2
SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q3/06 Q2/06 Q3/05 FY/05
real pct change yr/yr 2.7 4.0 7.6 6.3
nominal pct change yr/yr 7.7 8.8 9.9 9.2
SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT NOV 06 OCT 06 NOV 05
pct of available workforce 9.12 9.27 10.86
*SLOVAK GROSS FOREIGN DEBT
($ million) END-SEPT/06 END-AUG/06
TOTAL 29,335.9 29,783.3
LONG TERM DEBT 15,124.2 15,604.9
(of which)
Govt and central bank 7,328.9 7,515.5
Commercial banks 1,237.1 1,382.8
Corporates 6,558.2 6,706.7
SHORT TERM DEBT 14,211.7 14,178.3
(of which)
Govt and central bank 0.0 65.7
Commercial banks 6,019.0 6,181.8
Corporates 8,192.7 7,930.8
SLOVAK FOREIGN RESERVES DEC 13 DEC 06 NOV 29
($ million)
Central Bank 13,474.5 13,540.2 13,387.0
Commercial banks 3,005.5 3,038.7 2,582.1
Total banking sector 16,480.0 16,578.9 15,969.1
NOTE: Reserves data are calculated according to methodology
compatible with European Central Bank standards.
ECONOMIC FORECASTS
GDP CPI C/A DATE
'06 '07 '06 '07 '06 '07
FinMin +6.6 +7.1 +4.5 +3.1 -6.9 -3.5 Oct 2
Cbank +6.8 +7.2 +4.1 +2.6 -6.7 -4.3 Oct 31
OECD +8.2 +8.0 +4.5 +2.8 -6.4 -3.9 Nov 28
EU +6.7 +7.2 +4.5 +3.4 n/f n/f Nov 6
Notes:
FinMin - Finance Ministry
NBS - National Bank of Slovakia
OECD - Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development
EU - European Union
GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr)
CPI - Average annual change in consumer price index (pct).
C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP)
DATE - The date of the forecast release.
((Bratislava Newsroom, 421-2-5341-8402, fax 421-2-5341-8403,
editorial@reuters.sk))