(last updated on Dec 29 with end-Nov money supply)
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KEY INTEREST RATES 2-WEEK REPO DISCOUNT LOMBARD
rate 2.50 pct 1.50 pct 3.50 pct
last changed
(date of decision) Sept 27, 2006 Sept 27, 2006 Sept 27,2006
former rate 2.25 pct 1.25 pct 3.25 pct
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CZECH GDP (in pct) Q3/06 Q2/06 Q3/05 2005
Real change yr/yr 5.8 6.0 6.0 6.1
Final consumption 2.0 2.3 3.6 2.3
Household 4.0 4.1 3.2 2.8
Government -2.6 -1.8 4.9 1.0
Gross capital formation 13.6 16.2 0.5 1.6
fixed capital formation 7.2 6.7 1.7 1.3
Foreign trade balance n/a n/a n/a n/a
exports of goods 12.8 13.0 11.7 11.6
export of services 2.3 -5.2 3.5 2.2
imports of goods 11.8 12.6 7.0 5.7
imports of services 2.4 -0.5 -2.4 -1 8
NOTE. In the third quarter, GDP totalled 813.1 billion crowns in nominal
terms. All data from previous quarters are revised.
CZECH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 10/06 09/06 10/05 01-10/06
(CZK billions)
I. CURRENT ACCOUNT -26.22 -12.97 2.52 -123.72
Trade balance 4.35 7.97 2.15 44.08
Balance of services 1.51 2.28 0.90 12.00
Income balance -30.40 -21.48 -1.28 -173.06
Current transfers -1.69 -1.73 0.75 -6.74
II. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 0.68 0.55 0.64 3.76
III. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT 26.76 12.76 -13.56 101.75
Net Direct Investment 12.81 12.69 17.38 97.26
Czech abroad -0.37 -1.24 -4.29 -26.35
Into Czech Republic 13.18 13.93 21.66 123.62
Net Portfolio Investment 20.19 3.68 -6.17 -31.72
Assets 6.05 0.83 -4.35 -53.80
Liabilities 14.14 2.85 -1.81 22.08
Other Investments -6.64 -5.29 -29.43 39.28
Change in foreign exchange
reserves (minus = growth) 0.48 -0.45 2.18 -1.65
IV. BALANCE OF OMISSIONS &
EXCHANGE RATE ADJUSTMENTS -1.22 -0.34 10.40 18.21
NOTE. All 2006 figures are subject to revision. The 2005 figures are
revised. The CNB releases the monthly figures according to ECB methodology.
CZECH FOREX RESERVES END-NOV 06 END-OCT 06 END-NOV 05
euro bln 23.905 24.253 24.968
$ bln 31.560 30.793 29.386
CZK bln 668.620 684.421 722.313
NOTE. The central bank said it sold foreign currency worth an equivalent of
18 million euros in spot foreign exchange market operations in October. It sold
foreign currency worth 54.12 million euros in client operations in October.
MONETARY BASE END-NOV 06 END-OCT 06 END-NOV 05
(in CZK bln)
CNB monetary base 345.5 341.7 314.9
currency 314.1 308.1 284.0
bank reserves 31.4 33.5 30.9
mandatory reserves 36.1 36.7 33.0
CZECH M2 MONEY SUPPLY END-NOV 06 END-OCT 06 END-NOV 05
M1 change yr/yr 15.2 16.4 10.5
M2 change yr/yr 9.0 9.9 6.8
Loans to businesses
and households yr/yr 21.3 20.1 18.7
M2-M1 (deposits) yr/yr 1.5 2.1 2.6
CONSUMER INFLATION NOV 06 OCT 06 NOV 05
pct change month/month -0.1 -0.5 -0.3
pct change year/year 1.5 1.3 2.4
NOTE. The CSU added the sliding average rate of inflation over the past 12
months was 2.6 percent.
CZECH UNEMPLOYMENT NOV 06 OCT 06 NOV 05
pct of workforce 7.3 7.4 8.4
number of available
jobless 400,044 408,277 456,707
total number of jobless 432,573 439,788 490,779
NOTE. The number of available jobless shows how many people registered as
unemployed by labour offices are able to start work shortly. The total number of
jobless is for all jobless registered by labour offices.
PRODUCER PRICES NOV 06 OCT 06 NOV 05
Industrial prices
pct change month/month -0.2 0.0 -0.3
pct change year/year 2.0 1.9 0.0
Construction prices
pct change month/month 0.1 0.2 0.1
pct change year/year 3.1 3.2 2.6
Agricultural prices
pct change month/month -0.6 0.1 0.0
pct change year/year 1.3 1.9 -6.0
Services
pct change month/month -0.1 -0.2 -0.3
pct change year/year 3.4 3.2 2.3
NOTE. All 2006 data are subject to further revision.
FOREIGN TRADE OCT 06 SEPT 06 OCT 05 JAN-OCT 06
(in bln CZK)
exports 204.27 188.69(185.33) 170.50 1760.73
imports 199.92 180.72(177.86) 167.74 1716.65
balance 4.35 7.97 (7.46) 2.76 44.08
DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change in CZK terms)
nominal exports 19.8 11.4 (9.4) 7.5 14.6
nominal imports 19.2 10.1 (8.4) 4.6 14.7
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Numbers may not add up due
to rounding.
CZECH STATE BUDGET JAN-NOV 06 JAN-OCT 06 JAN-NOV 05
revenue (CZK bln) 821.23 748.76 769.79
expenditure 852.15 761.43 769.59
balance -30.92 -12.67 0.20
NOTE. The 2006 budget was approved by parliament with a gap of 74.4 billion
crowns.
GOVERNMENT DEBT SEPT 06 JUNE 06 MARCH 06 SEPT 05
(CZK bln)
total 746.3 728.9 698.2 662.6
average maturity
(in years) 5.9 6.1 6.2 5.9
marketable debt 711.3 696.1 667.4 633.5
modified duration
(in years) 3.8 3.7 3.8 4.0
NOTE. Data show levels as of the end of the period listed. The modified
duration figure stands for marketable debt only and includes the Finance
Ministry's interest rate swap transactions. Average maturity was within the
ministry's target of 6.0-7.0 years.
CZECH AVG WAGE Q3/06 Q2/06 Q3/05 Q1-Q3/06 Q1-Q3/05
Monthly wage (nominal) 19,968 20,036 18,829 19.635 18,420
real change y/y (pct) 3.1 3.9 4.2 3.6 3.9
nominal change y/y 6.1 6.9 6.2 6.6 5.7
Private sector in CZK 20,104 20,182 18,924 19.780 18,515
real change y/y (pct) 3.2 4.1 3.5 3.8 3.4
nominal change y/y 6.2 7.1 5.5 6.8 5.2
Public sector in CZK 19,484 19,528 18,493 19,130 18,092
real change y/y (pct) 2.4 3.0 6.6 2.7 5.8
nominal change y/y 5.4 6.0 8.6 5.7 7.6
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision.
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT OCT 06 SEPT 06 OCT 05 JAN-OCT 06
Real pct change y/y 12.8 5.5 (5.8) 8.1 10.7
Industrial sales 13.7 5.8 (6.1) 9.5 11.0
Productivity 12.9 4.6 (4.8) 9.3 9.7
Monthly wage
avg nominal 7.7 4.7 (4.5) 4.1 6.2
avg real 6.3 1.9 (1.8) 1.5 3.4
NOTE. Brackets denote previously reported data. All data are subject to
further revision. Seasonally adjusted industrial output was up 1.2 percent
month-on-month.
CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT OCT 06 SEPT 06 OCT 05 JAN-OCT 06
real pct change y/y 7.1 4.2 (4.1) 13.9 5.7
Monthly wage
avg nominal 9.4 6.8 (6.9) 4.0 7.0
avg real 8.0 4.1 (4.1) 1.4 4.2
Productivity
y/y change in pct 7.8 5.0 (4.5) 8.0 5.3
Construction permits
y/y pct chg 3.6 -6.8(-6.8) -3.0 -5.9
NOTE. All figures are subject to further revision. Previously released data
are in brackets. Seasonally-adjusted construction output rose a real 0.3 percent
over the previous month.
OCT 06 SEPT 06 OCT 05 JAN-OCT 06
RETAIL SALES (pct chg y/y) 8.6 4.8 (5.2) 3.4 6.6
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((Editing by Mirka Krufova, prague.newsroom@reuters.com; Reuters Messaging:
mirka.krufova.reuters.com@reuters.net; +420 224 190 477))