The Slovak crown erased early
losses and rebounded from a nearly one-month low against the
euro on Monday, but dealers said more weakening may come if the
central bank (NBS) keeps the market awash with excess liquidity.
The crown eased 0.4 percent to 34.935 per euro in early
trade, its softest level since Dec. 19, but recovered later on
to trade at 34.820 as of 1530 GMT. It closed at 34.800
on Friday.
"It looks that banks rather have a tendency to sell crowns,
although these levels are attractive for crown purchases," said
Tatra Banka trader Boris Somorovsky.
The crown fell through support at 34.650 per euro on Friday
as some players speculated that the NBS might slash its key repo
rate from 4.75 percent soon due to positive inflation data.
But the bank's chief Ivan Sramko said on the sidelines of a
conference in Slovenia that Slovak interest rates have peaked
and that the bank needs time to consider economic trends before
making a move. The crown eased slightly on his remarks.
The bank tightened monetary settings by 175 basis points
last year to curb inflationary pressures.
Investors now await the outcome of the NBS's Tuesday
liquidity-draining tender. The bank used such tenders to slow
down the crown's firming pace over the past two weeks.
"They (the NBS) will probably continue their policy (of
rejecting bids) despite the crown weakening," said a dealer with
a foreign bank in Bratislava. "We could go weaker, even over
35.0 (per euro) if this is the case."
The NBS drained 80 billion crowns from the money market last
week, out of total bids of 143.2 billion. It intervened directly
in the market last month to curb the crown's strength.
The crown was central Europe's top performer last year,
gaining 9.7 percent against the euro on Slovakia's record
economic growth and sound mood in emerging markets. The unit is
2.2 percent down from its record high of 34.050 seen on Dec. 28.
----------------- MARKET SNAPSHOT AT 1530 GMT -----------------
Crown/euro 34.820 vs 34.770 on Friday (-0.14 pct)
Crown/dollarb 26.910 vs 26.885 (-0.09 pct)
5-yr govt bond yield 4.371/4.132 vs 4.308/4.907
7-yr govt bond yield 4.425/4.187 vs 4.340/4.140
---------------------------------------------------------------
[BRATISLAVA/Reuters/Finance.cz]



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