The Slovak crown held steady
against the euro on Monday, and traders expected the currency to
float in a wider range ahead of the central bank's (NBS)
interest rate decision on Tuesday.
The crown traded at 35.220 to the euro as of 0925
GMT, unchanged from Friday's close. It touched a seven-week low
of 35.450 in the previous session.
"We expect the crown to be driven by regional mood today and
see it moving in a wider range of 35.0-35.5 per euro," Slovenska
Sporitelna analyst Maria Valachyova wrote in a note.
The NBS is expected to keep the key two-week repo rate at
4.75 percent on Tuesday, for the fourth month in a row, as the
crown has eased 3.3 percent from its end-2006 record high of
34.050 per euro.
The bank intervened directly in the market in December to
curb the crown's strength. The NBS has also been rejecting some
bids in its weekly repo tenders over the past month to make the
crown less attractive for speculators.
"A no change decision together with the full recovery of the
repo facility, which we do expect, might re-induce appetite for
the crown in the short term," Lucia Steklacova, senior economist
at ING in Bratislava said in a note.
"In addition, the market will be handed the central bank's
new forecasts on growth and inflation and that could be a
slightly positive bullish story for both the currency and rates.
Nevertheless, we target 'only' 35.0 per euro later this week,"
she said.
The NBS said last week it was now considering whether it is
possible to ease monetary policy due to an improved inflation
outlook, after 175 basis points worth of tightening last year.
Inflation is Slovakia's main challenge ahead of the euro
adoption, planned for 2009.
----------------- MARKET SNAPSHOT AT 0925 GMT -----------------
Crown/euro unchanged vs 35.220 on Friday
Crown/dollar 27.235 vs 27.330 (+0.35 pct)
5-yr govt bond yield 4.317/4.155 vs 4.308/4.088 pct
7-yr govt bond yield 4.407/4.208 vs 4.407/4.207 pct
---------------------------------------------------------------
[BRATISLAVA/Reuters/Finance.cz]



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