(adds details, analyst, crown) By Martin Santa Slovak real gross domestic product grew by a much faster-than-expected 9.5 percent in the fourth quarter, data released on Tuesday showed, confirming it as one of Europe's hottest economies. The preliminary flash estimate of the fourth quarter GDP, published by Statistics Office, came in well above the market expectation of an 8.1 percent acceleration, lifting the crown to firmer levels against the euro at 34.605. Growth slowed marginally from 9.8 percent in the third quarter but was well above the year ago's 8.1 percent. The flash estimate does not contain any detailed data of the economy's structure, but Slovakia has been showing the highest growth rates among EU members over the past few years, driven mainly by domestic demand and rising car industry investments. "One-off effects such as warm weather and accelerating construction output likely influenced growth in the fourth quarter," said Lucia Steklacova, a senior analyst at ING Bank, in Bratislava. Slovakia has had one of the highest growth rates in the EU in the past four years, and it is expected to join the ranks of the world fastest growing economies. Economic growth is expected to accelerate further in 2007 on the back of rising exports from new car assembly plants that French PSA Peugeot Citroen and South Korean Kia Motors opened last year. The central bank, which raised interest rates last year to curb inflation and safeguard Slovakia's goal of adopting the euro in 2009, has said the growth is fuelled by rising productivity and is not creating inflation pressures. "This (fourth quarter) figure confirmed the fast growth of the economy," said Slovenska Sporitelna analyst Maria Valachyova. "This should not have a significant impact on monetary policy as it is near central bank expectations. We see this figure as neutral (for the market)." The central bank lifted interest rates last year to fend-off inflation pressures and safeguard the country's plan to adopt the euro in 2009, but is widely expected to ease monetary policy later this year due to a positive inflation outlook and strong crown. "The structure of the GDP data might not indicate demand-led inflation pressures and net exports will dominate. But we don't see room for lower interest rates until in the third quarter of the year," Steklacova added.
[BRATISLAVA/Reuters/Finance.cz]