(last updated on Feb 15 with Dec retail sales)
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KEY INTEREST RATES 2-WEEK REPO DISCOUNT LOMBARD
rate 2.50 pct 1.50 pct 3.50 pct
last changed
(date of decision) Sept 27, 2006 Sept 27, 2006 Sept 27,2006
former rate 2.25 pct 1.25 pct 3.25 pct
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CZECH GDP (in pct) Q3/06 Q2/06 Q3/05 2005
Real change yr/yr 5.8 6.0 6.0 6.1
Final consumption 2.0 2.3 3.6 2.3
Household 4.0 4.1 3.2 2.8
Government -2.6 -1.8 4.9 1.0
Gross capital formation 13.6 16.2 0.5 1.6
fixed capital formation 7.2 6.7 1.7 1.3
Foreign trade balance n/a n/a n/a n/a
exports of goods 12.8 13.0 11.7 11.6
export of services 2.3 -5.2 3.5 2.2
imports of goods 11.8 12.6 7.0 5.7
imports of services 2.4 -0.5 -2.4 -1 8
NOTE. In the third quarter, GDP totalled 813.1 billion crowns in nominal
terms. All data from previous quarters are revised.
CZECH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 12/06 11/06 12/05 01-12/06
(CZK billions)
I. CURRENT ACCOUNT -16.26 -11.15 -13.30 -151.13
Trade balance -3.25 6.43 -4.13 47.27
Balance of services -1.49 2.47 0.59 12.98
Income balance -11.53 -17.81 -13.28 -202.40
Current transfers 0.01 -2.25 5.52 -8.98
II. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 2.72 2.07 0.96 8.55
III. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT 17.66 19.88 8.32 139.29
Net Direct Investment 23.20 3.79 6.94 124.25
Czech abroad -1.90 -6.92 -0.22 -35.18
Into Czech Republic 25.10 10.71 7.16 159.44
Net Portfolio Investment 10.12 2.63 -9.40 -18.97
Assets -2.17 -4.50 -6.35 -60.47
Liabilities 12.29 7.13 -3.05 41.50
Other Investments -14.45 17.60 12.00 42.43
Change in foreign exchange
reserves (minus = growth) 1.20 -1.63 -1.41 -2.07
IV. BALANCE OF OMISSIONS &
EXCHANGE RATE ADJUSTMENTS -4.12 -10.80 2.02 3.29
NOTE. All 2006 figures are subject to revision. The 2005 figures are
revised. The CNB releases the monthly figures according to ECB methodology.
CZECH FOREX RESERVES END-JAN 07 END-DEC 06 END-JAN 06
euro bln 24.220 23.882 24.553
$ bln 31.377 31.454 29.752
CZK bln 682.031 656.638 697.545
NOTE. The central bank said it did not conduct any spot foreign exchange
market operations in December.
It bought foreign currency worth 38.59 million euros in client operations in
December.
MONETARY BASE END-JAN 07 END-DEC 06 END-JAN 06
(in CZK bln)
CNB monetary base 349.4 355.5 315.2
currency 313.6 321.5 283.5
bank reserves 35.9 34.0 31.8
mandatory reserves 36.7 36.7 33.7
CZECH M2 MONEY SUPPLY END-DEC 06 END-NOV 06 END-DEC 05
M1 change yr/yr 14.0 15.2 13.0
M2 change yr/yr 9.9 9.0 8.0
Loans to businesses
and households yr/yr 20.5 21.3 20.0
M2-M1 (deposits) yr/yr 4.8 1.5 2.6
CONSUMER INFLATION JAN 07 DEC 06 JAN 06
pct change month/month 1.0 0.2 1.4
pct change year/year 1.3 1.7 2.9
NOTE. The CSU added the sliding average rate of inflation over the past 12
months was 2.4 percent.
CZECH UNEMPLOYMENT JAN 07 DEC 06 JAN 06
pct of workforce 7.9 7.7 9.2
number of available
jobless 434,940 421,286 498,630
total number of jobless 465,458 448,545 531,235
NOTE. The number of available jobless shows how many people registered as
unemployed by labour offices are able to start work shortly. The total number of
jobless is for all jobless registered by labour offices.
PRODUCER PRICES DEC 06 NOV 06 DEC 05
Industrial prices
pct change month/month 0.0 -0.2 -0.6
pct change year/year 2.6 2.0 -0.3
Construction prices
pct change month/month 0.2 0.1 0.2
pct change year/year 3.2 3.1 2.6
Agricultural prices
pct change month/month 3.4 -0.6 -0.2
pct change year/year 4.9 1.3 -5.2
Services
pct change month/month -0.6 -0.1 -1.0
pct change year/year 3.9 3.4 1.6
NOTE. All 2006 data are subject to further revision.
FOREIGN TRADE DEC 06 NOV 06 DEC 05 JAN-DEC 06
(in bln CZK)
exports 169.16 211.22 150.36 2141.11
imports 172.41 204.79 154.39 2093.84
balance -3.25 6.43 -4.03 47.27
DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change in CZK terms)
nominal exports 12.5 16.1 10.4 14.6
nominal imports 11.7 14.2 5.9 14.4
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision. Numbers may not add up due
to rounding.
CZECH STATE BUDGET END-JAN 07 JAN-DEC 06 END-JAN 06
revenue (CZK bln) 83.14 923.06 79.63
expenditure 78.11 1020.64 76.20
balance 5.03 -97.58 3.43
NOTE. The 2007 budget was approved by parliament with a gap of 91.3 billion
crowns.
GOVERNMENT DEBT DEC 06 SEPT 06 JUNE 06 DEC 05
(CZK bln)
total 802.5 746.3 728.9 691.2
average maturity
(in years) 6.2 5.9 6.1 5.8
marketable debt 765.0 711.3 696.1 660.6
modified duration
(in years) 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.9
NOTE. Data show levels as of the end of the period listed. The modified
duration figure stands for marketable debt only and includes the Finance
Ministry's interest rate swap transactions. Average maturity was within the
ministry's target of 6.0-7.0 years.
CZECH AVG WAGE Q3/06 Q2/06 Q3/05 Q1-Q3/06 Q1-Q3/05
Monthly wage (nominal) 19,968 20,036 18,829 19.635 18,420
real change y/y (pct) 3.1 3.9 4.2 3.6 3.9
nominal change y/y 6.1 6.9 6.2 6.6 5.7
Private sector in CZK 20,104 20,182 18,924 19.780 18,515
real change y/y (pct) 3.2 4.1 3.5 3.8 3.4
nominal change y/y 6.2 7.1 5.5 6.8 5.2
Public sector in CZK 19,484 19,528 18,493 19,130 18,092
real change y/y (pct) 2.4 3.0 6.6 2.7 5.8
nominal change y/y 5.4 6.0 8.6 5.7 7.6
NOTE. All data are subject to further revision.
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT DEC 06 NOV 06 DEC 05 JAN-DEC 06
Real pct change y/y 3.0 7.6 (7.6) 6.9 9.7
Industrial sales 4.9 8.8 (8.8) 8.4 10.3
Productivity 4.6 8.8 (8.6) 8.2 9.2
Monthly wage
avg nominal 5.0 5.9 (5.8) 3.7 6.0
avg real 3.2 4.3 (4.2) 1.5 3.4
NOTE. Brackets denote previously reported data. All data are subject to
further revision. Seasonally adjusted industrial output was down 0.5 percent
month-on-month.
CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT DEC 06 NOV 06 DEC 05 JAN-DEC 06
real pct change y/y 15.4 7.7 (7.9) 8.6 6.6
Monthly wage
avg nominal 12.4 5.2 (5.3) -1.3 7.3
avg real 10.5 3.6 (3.7) -3.4 4.7
Productivity
y/y change in pct 15.7 8.0 (8.6) 1.0 6.3
Construction permits
y/y pct chg -1.8 -2.6(-2.6) -8.5 -5.3
NOTE. All figures are subject to further revision. Seasonally-adjusted
construction output rose a real 3.1 percent over the previous month.
DEC 06 NOV 06 DEC 05 JAN-DEC 06
RETAIL SALES (pct chg y/y) 4.4 6.5 (6.4) 2.1 6.4
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((Editing by Mirka Krufova, prague.newsroom@reuters.com; Reuters Messaging:
mirka.krufova.reuters.com@reuters.net; +420 224 190 477))