* Mideast unrest, Israel-Iran tension boost Brent
* Reuters monthly oil price poll sees fall in Brent soon
* U.S. January CPI, jobless claims slightly above forecasts
(Updates prices, detail)
By Anna Yukhananov
LONDON, Feb 17 (Reuters) - North Sea Brent crude oil steadied around $104 per barrel on Thursday, near a two-and-a-half-year high, as unrest in the Middle East and Israel-Iran tension stoked fears of a disruption of oil flows.
Bahrain police stormed a square in Manama, killing at least three people as protests in the Middle East and North Africa gathered pace, inspired by revolts in Tunisia and Egypt. [
]Clashes were reported in tightly controlled oil producer Libya, sandwiched between Egypt and Tunisia, while at least 40 were wounded in Yemen in the seventh day of demonstrations against the president's 32-year rule. [
] [ ]The dollar earlier hit a one-week low against a basket of currencies on worries over rising Middle East tension. [
]"All in all, the pace of change sweeping the region is truly mind-boggling, and we find it unlikely oil prices will settle any time soon as long as this kind of upheaval continues to spread," said Edward Meir, senior commodity analyst at brokers MF Global.
Brent crude for April delivery <LCOc1> fell 8 cents to $103.70 by 1508 GMT versus $103.78 on Wednesday, its highest close since September 2008. U.S. crude for March delivery <CLc1> rose 13 cents to $85.12 a barrel.
A Reuters poll of analysts and banks suggested on Thursday that Brent would drop later this year as the risk premium from unrest in the Middle East ebbs. [
]"The current price is unsustainable," said Carsten Fritsch, commodity analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt. "Tension in the Middle East should calm down at some point, whereas (North Sea) output should normalise," he said.
The spread between Brent and U.S. crude <CL-LCO1=R> held just below $16 per barrel after hitting a record of $16.31 a barrel on Wednesday.
The Credit Suisse global research team said political tensions would continue to lift global oil prices.
"However, we see risks for Brent prices to retrace below $100 if the geopolitical issues are resolved," they said.
Gulf Arab foreign ministers will meet on Thursday evening to discuss unrest in Bahrain. [
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Interactive graphic on Middle East unrest:
http://r.reuters.com/nym77r
Graphic of asset returns in 2011:
http://r.reuters.com/suc97r
Link to Reuters Insider news bulletin focusing on Reuters oil price poll
http://link.reuters.com/xet97r
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SUEZ
Tensions between Israel and Iran also kept pressure on markets.
Iranian state TV said on Thursday that two Iranian warships were due to pass through the Suez Canal, the first such passage by the Islamic Republic's navy since Iran's 1979 revolution. [
]Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman said Iran's move through the canal en route to Syria would be a provocation.
Suez Canal officials said on Thursday they had no notification so far that the Egyptian government would allow the two Iranian naval ships to cross the waterway. [
]U.S. crude pared earlier losses after U.S. data showed prices had risen more than expected in the world's biggest oil consumer, though jobless claims also rose more than forecast.
January core consumer prices rose 0.2 percent, their quickest pace in more than a year and above expectations for a 0.1 percent gain, though the increase was not enough to suggest a troubling build-up in inflation pressures. [
]Other data showed U.S. claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week to 410,000, though the data still pointed at gradual labour market recovery. (Additional reporting by Christopher Johnson and Jennifer Tan; editing by Jane Baird)