(last updated Aug 18)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED* KEY INTEREST RATES OVERNIGHT REPO TWO-WEEK REPO rate (pct) 2.25/5.75 4.25 last changed APRIL 24, 2007 APRIL 24, 2007 former rate (pct) 2.50/6.00 4.50 ------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP Q1/08 Q4/07 Q1/07 FY/07 (pct change yr/yr) +8.7 +14.3 +8.3 +10.4 Final consumption Household +8.4 +5.9 +6.3 +7.1 Government +0.6 +0.8 +3.5 +0.7 Gross fixed capital formation +2.4 +8.9 +11.0 +7.9 Foreign trade balance exports of goods and services +12.2 +16.0 +22.7 +16.0 imports of goods and services +12.9 +11.6 +14.5 +10.4 -------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP 2000-2006 (pct chng yr/yr) FY/2006 - +8.3 FY/2005 - +6.6 (+6.0) FY/2004 - +5.2 (+5.4) FY/2003 - +4.8 (+4.2) FY/2002 - +4.8 (+4.1) FY/2001 - +3.4 (+3.2) FY/2000 - +1.4 (+0.7) ------------------------------------------------------------- C/A BALANCE JAN-MAY/08 JAN-MAY/07 (SKK bln) -25.6 -13.2 C/A BALANCE JAN-April/08 JAN-April/07 (SKK bln) Total -22.2 -0.4 Foreign trade -2.1 +1.5 Service -4.1 +3.8 Income balance -6.3 -0.06 Current transfers -9.6 -5.6 -------------------------------------------------------------- FOREIGN TRADE JUNE 08 MAY 08 JUNE 07 JAN-DEC 07 (SKK bln) Imports 132.298 124.908 121.918 1,442.123 Exports 131.279 128.531 117.370 1,420.738 Balance -1.019 +3.623 -4.547 -21.385 DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change in SKK terms) nominal imports +8.5 +0.2 +9.1 +10.2 nominal exports +11.9 +5.8 +8.2 +15.2 -------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION JULY 08 JUNE 08 JULY 07 pct change mo/mo +0.0 +0.4 -0.1 pct change yr/yr +4.4 +4.3 +1.2 SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI JULY 08 JUNE 08 JULY 07 pct change mo/mo +0.1 +0.4 0.0 pct change yr/yr +4.8 +4.6 +2.3 SLOVAK CORE CPI pct change mo/mo +0.2 +0.4 -0.1 pct change yr/yr +5.1 +4.8 +2.4 -------------------------------------------------------------- CENTRAL STATE BUDGET JAN-JULY/08 JAN-JULY/07 FY 2008 PLAN (SKK bln) revenues 186.759 185.347 348.252 expenditure 187.373 181.490 380.233 balance -0.614 +3.857 -31.981 -------------------------------------------------------------- PRODUCER PRICES JUNE 08 MAY 08 JUNE 07 pct change month/month +0.2 +0.5 +0.3 pct change year/year +6.3 +6.4 +1.3 -------------------------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT JUNE 08 MAY 08 JUNE 07 pct change yr/yr +6.2 +3.3 (+4.0) +12.2 CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT JUNE 08 MAY 08 JUNE 07 pct change yr/yr +6.5 +8.4 +1.7 SELECTED SECTOR SALES JUNE 08 MAY 08 JUNE 07 JAN-DEC 07 (pct change yr/yr) Retail sales +3.1 +6.7 +7.5 +5.5 Hotels and restaurants +4.3 +0.5 -2.2 +1.6 Vehicle sales and maintenance +3.5 +0.6 +13.6 +24.2 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES JUNE 08 MAY 08 JUNE 07 FY/07 real pct change yr/yr +5.4 +2.9 +1.7 +3.5 nominal pct change yr/yr +10.2 +7.6 +4.2 +6.4 SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q1/08 Q4/07 Q1/07 FY/07 real pct change yr/yr +6.2 +4.5 +4.2 4.3 nominal pct change yr/yr +10.4 +8.0 +7.1 7.2 --------------------------------------------------------------- *SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT JULY 08 JUNE 08 JULY 07 pct of workforce 7.47 7.42 8.30 number of available jobless 194,841 193,455 216,789 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK GROSS FOREIGN DEBT ($ million) END-APRIL/08 END-MARCH/08 TOTAL 50,145.3 49,380.2 LONG TERM DEBT 23,683.4 23,775.5 (of which) Govt and central bank 10,511.9 10,677.4 Commercial banks 2,578.2 2,497.8 Corporates 10,593.4 10,600.3 SHORT TERM DEBT 26,461.9 25,604.7 (of which) Govt and central bank 0.0 0.0 Commercial banks 13,549.6 12,605.1 Corporates 12,912.3 12,999.6 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK FOREIGN RESERVES AUG 13 AUG 6 JULY 30 ($ million) Central bank 18,953.4 19,635.0 19,863.2 Commercial banks 3,831.8 3,640.4 3,890.9 Total banking sector 22,785.2 23,275.4 23,754.1
NOTE: Reserves data are calculated according to methodology compatible with European Central Bank standards. --------------------------------------------------------------- ECONOMIC FORECASTS:
GDP EU-NORM CPI C/A DATE
'08 '09 '08 '09 '08 '09 FinMin +7.7 +6.5 +3.8 +3.4 -4.1 -2.5 June 25 Cbank +7.6 +6.6 +4.0 +2.8 -5.1 -2.9 July 29 EC +7.0 +6.2 +3.8 +3.2 April 28 Notes: EC - The European Commission FinMin - Finance Ministry NBS - National Bank of Slovakia GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr) CPI - Average annual change in consumer price index, calculated under the EU methodology (pct). C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP) DATE - The date of the forecast release.