TABLE-Czech right recovers, takes small lead

    PRAGUE, Nov 14 (Reuters) - The Czech right-wing ruling Civic 
Democrats (ODS) leapfrogged the leftist opposition in an opinion 
poll on Wednesday. 
    The poll by the private STEM agency put support for the 
Civic Democrats at 27.5 percent, up from 25.9 last month, ahead 
of the leftist Social Democrats who slumped to 26.9 from 30.5 
percent. 
    The ODS rules in a shaky coalition with the centrist 
Christian Democrats (KDU-CSL) and the Green Party. 
    The survey followed several polls that showed the Social 
Democrats ahead as voters swung away from the ruling party after 
the government pushed controversial tax and welfare reforms 
through parliament in the summer. 
    STEM said its election model showed the three-party 
coalition would win 101 seats in the 200-seat lower house of 
parliament if election was held now, with the other 99 seats 
going to the Social Democrats and the far-left Communists. 
     
 DATE    INSTITUTE   ODS    CSSD   KSCM   KDU-CSL  Greens 
 Nov 14    STEM      27.5   26.9   12.1    5.7       9.4 
 Oct 19    CVVM      30.0   36.0   15.0    8.0       9.0 
 Oct 16    STEM      25.9   30.5   11.3    6.6       8.8 
 Sept 24   FI        32.2   33.0   15.3    6.8       7.1 
 Sept 19   CVVM      31.0   33.0   14.5    9.0      10.0 
 Sept 17   STEM      27.0   28.7   12.2    7.3       9.1 
 Aug 10    FI        33.8   30.7   13.3    8.8       6.9 
 June 20   CVVM      32.0   32.0   14.5    8.0      10.5 
 June 19   STEM      29.3   27.0   12.5    5.9       9.9 
 June 16   FI        33.5   30.8   12.7    8.8       9.2 
 May 23    CVVM      35.0   29.0   15.5    9.5       9.0 
 May 17    STEM      28.6   27.6   12.6    6.6       9.2 
 May 9     FI        34.5   32.3   12.2    9.1       7.0 
 April 18  STEM      29.2   24.9   10.9    6.6      11.6 
 April 18  CVVM      35.0   29.0   14.0    8.0      10.5 
 March 28  FI        35.1   26.9   13.0    8.2      11.0 
 March 21  CVVM      34.5   29.0   15.0    9.0       9.0 
 March 14  STEM      32.0   23.7   10.9    7.0      11.1 
 Feb 26    FI        34.7   29.5   13.3    7.3       7.6 
 Feb 21    CVVM      34.5   26.0   15.5    8.0      12.0 
 Feb 15    STEM      31.3   23.4   12.7    7.6      10.3 
 Feb 1     CVVM      37.0   24.5   16.0    8.0      11.5 
 Jan 26    FI        36.5   29.5   14.1    7.3       7.6 
 Jan 16    STEM      32.3   20.9   12.4    7.5      11.1 
 Dec 20    CVVM      38.0   23.5   11.5   11.0      12.0 
 Dec 15    STEM      32.9   20.6   13.1    7.0      11.2 
 Dec 07    FI        35.8   30.9   14.3    6.6       7.2 
 Nov 23    CVVM      41.0   26.0   11.0    7.0      11.0 
 Nov 15    STEM      35.1   20.7   10.9    7.5       9.4 
 Nov 10    FI        41.1   27.7   12.7    6.0       7.1 
 Oct 23    CVVM      36.0   30.5   15.0    6.0       9.5 
 Oct 16    FI        35.9   27.2   13.9    6.9       8.4 
 Oct 15    STEM      32.0   22.7   11.7    6.3      10.5 
 Sept 22   CVVM      37.0   29.5   13.0    8.0      10.0 
 Sept 21   STEM      32.8   26.6   10.0    4.2      10.3 
 Sept 18   FI        36.3   32.0   13.7    6.5       7.3 
 Aug 7     FI        41.0   30.8   12.3    6.3       6.9 
---------------------------------------------------------------- 
June 2006 election   35.4   32.3   12.8    7.2       6.3 
  
    NOTE. The latest STEM poll was conducted between November 1 
and 7 among 1,281 Czechs eligible to vote.  
 The parties are: 
 - Civic Democratic Party (ODS) - right wing, 
liberal-conservative 
 - The Czech Social Democratic Party (CSSD) - leftist 
 - Christian Democratic Union-Czechoslovak People's Party 
(KDU-CSL) - centrist 
 - The Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia (KSCM) - far left 
 - The Greens - environmentalists, centrist. 
   Pollsters: The FI and CVVM results are based on a model 
predicting gains at the poll box, excluding those not willing to 
vote and undecided. 
   STEM results are direct voter preferences, and include 
replies from all respondents including those not willing to 
vote. Parties should thus win a larger than indicated share of 
the vote at the election. 
 (Writing by Jan Lopatka) 
 ((prague.newsroom"reuters.com; +420 224 190 477; Reuters 
Messaging: rm://jan.lopatka.reuters.com@reuters.net)) 
  Keywords: CZECH POLITICS/POLL