* Dollar index at 10-wk low ahead of Fed meet
* Technicals show U.S. crude in moderate rebound
* Coming Up: EIA weekly oil inventories at 1530 GMT (Recasts, updates prices)
By Florence Tan
SINGAPORE, Jan 26 (Reuters) - Oil rose on Wednesday in a technical rebound ahead of a statement from the U.S. Federal Reserve that reaffirmed an improved economic outlook for the world's largest oil consumer while investors await weekly stocks data.
The dollar held near a 10-week low against a basket of currencies as the Fed is expected to stay the course on its $600 billion bond-buying plan.
A perception that the Federal will keep a much easier policy than the European Central Bank, which is increasingly worried about inflation, has helped boost the euro to near a two-month high against the dollar.
A weak greenback makes dollar-denominated oil more affordable for holders of other currencies.
But U.S. crude inventories probably rose last week, putting a cap on prices.
U.S. crude oil for March delivery rose 39 cents to $86.58 a barrel by 0426 GMT, after posting a 1.91 percent loss on Tuesday, but is still on track for its first monthly decline since August.
ICE Brent crude for March rose 50 cents to $95.75 a barrel.
Traders will be watching closely to see if support levels for Brent will hold in the next few sessions, Yusuke Seta, a Tokyo-based commodity derivative sales manager at Newedge Japan, said.
If Brent breaks the $95 support level, it will trigger a sell-off similar to Tuesday's, he said, but prices may charge towards $100 if a resistance at $96 is broken.
Reuters markets analyst Wang Tao said the technical outlook for U.S. oil is weak while the U.S. dollar index is expected to rise in the next four weeks.
Brent's premium to U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude <CL-LCO1=R> remained firm at around $9 a barrel.
Brent will probably stay supported on lower crude inventories in Europe and as investors prefer to put their money in the European price marker over WTI, Newedge's Seta said.
This would keep the price spread between the two oil price markers wide, he said.
U.S. crude stocks rose by 2.1 million barrels last week, or more than expected as imports increased, industry data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed on Tuesday.
Distillate stocks fell a whopping 5.0 million barrels and gasoline supplies rose 1.7 million barrels, the API said.
Government data due at 1530 GMT on Wednesday could be bearish, Seta said.
Analysts expect crude inventories to rise by 1.2 million barrels in the week to Jan. 21, a Reuters poll showed. (Editing by Clarence Fernandez)