* Romania holds rates, Czech cbank seen doing same
* Forint a touch weaker as market digests budget plans
* Markets await Fed decision; zloty, forint seen sensitive
(Writes through, updates markets)
By Dagmara Leszkowicz and Marton Dunai
WARSAW/BUDAPEST, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Emerging European assets were flat on Tuesday, little affected by concerns about fiscal policy in Hungary and Romania as investors held fire ahead of likely monetary stimulus moves from the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Romania's leu <EURRON=> dipped a third of a percent after the central bank held its key interest rate, with inflation caused by a sales tax hike leaving limited scope for rate cuts to aid sluggish growth. [
]The Romanian national bank has not moved from record low rates since May. The government raised value added tax by 5 percentage points in July, trying to cut its budget gap and keep an international loan programme on track.
The Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> was off 0.1 percent against the euro, as was the Czech crown. The Polish zloty <EURPLN=> was 0.4 percent stronger in thin trading.
The forint shrugged off policy concerns, trading near four-week highs on the first workday after the government tabled its 2011 budget, which targets a deficit below 3 percent of GDP but has raised concerns over longer term fiscal sustainability, according to analysts. [
]"The long-term story is horribly bearish," a Budapest-based dealer said. "Investors remain unconvinced... Spending-side measures lack anything that resembles a reform."
The government said it sees growth picking up to 5 percent by 2013, and plans further cuts in social security taxes.
The central bank kept rates flat last week in Hungary, as well as in Poland, and the same is expected from the Czech National Bank on Thursday. [
]Pressure on Prague to hike rates remains low as the inflation background is benign and the crown is robust. [
] The currency is by far the best performing in the region so far this year.
BONDS LITTLE MOVED, EYE FED
Government bond markets were little moved, with yields up one basis point in Poland and down a similar amount in Hungary.
Poland's finance ministry said consumer prices likely grew by an annual 2.9 percent last month, faster than the 2.5 percent pace reported for September. Central bank policymakers said the rise could be a one-off effect. [
]Dealers said markets were eyeing monetary stimulus expected to emerge from the Fed's two-day meeting ending on Wednesday, with Hungary's forint and Poland's zloty the most sensitive to that impetus.
"The decision itself is already priced in, the key question now is its scope," said Raiffeisen analyst Dorota Strauch. "If it is bigger than expected, the region may gain further as risk appetite would likely increase." --------------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT-------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Local
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today in 2010 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 24.509 24.475 -0.14% +7.38% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 3.95 3.966 +0.41% +3.9% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 270.94 270.7 -0.09% -0.22% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.343 7.345 +0.03% -0.46% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.289 4.276 -0.3% -1.2% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 107.56 107.29 -0.25% -10.86% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR +1 basis points to +69bps over bmk* 7-yr T-bond CZ7YT=RR +3 basis points to +102bps over bmk* 10-yr Tbond CZ9YT=RR +3 basis points to +106bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR -1 basis points to +375bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR +4 basis points to +357bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR +5 basis points to +323bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR -3 basis points to +540bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR -1 basis points to +514bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR +3 basis points to +455bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1523 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT. For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news [
] Spot FX rates Eastern Europe spot FX <EEFX=> Middle East spot FX <MEFX=> Asia spot FX <ASIAFX=> Latin America spot FX <LATAMFX=> Other news and reports World central bank news [ ] Economic Data Guide <ECONGUIDE> Official rates [ ] Emerging Diary [ ] Top events [ ] Diaries [ ] Diaries Index [ ](Reporting by Reuters bureaus, writing by Dagmara Leszkowicz, editing by Catherine Evans, John Stonestreet)