(Adds details on Japan's budget for the year to March 2011)
TOKYO, Dec 28 (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei average is likely to move narrowly on Monday to hover around a three-month high, in the absence of fresh trading cues after U.S. and European stock markets were closed for Christmas late last week.
Toyota Motor Corp <7203.T> may draw attention after media reported that the automaker expects a 17 percent increase in its 2010 global production, excluding units Daihatsu and Hino Motors, from this year to about 7.5 million units. [
]Japanese industrial output data, due before the start of trade, will also be in focus. Output probably posted its strongest growth in six months in November, driven by rising exports to China and the rest of Asia. [
]"Trade will likely be slow due to the holiday mood and as the Nikkei is already taking a breather around 10,500, and the dollar/yen that had pushed up the market last week is halting a further rise," said Kazuhiro Takahashi, general manager at Daiwa Securities SMBC.
"Unless the industrial output data comes in much stronger than market expectations, it's unlikely to lead the market to test higher levels."
The benchmark Nikkei <
> is likely to move between 10,400 and 10,600 on Monday, market players said. It slipped 0.4 percent on Friday to end at 10,494.71, a day after hitting a three-month closing peak.The index ended up 3.5 percent on the week and has risen 18.5 percent so far this year.
Japan approved on Friday a record budget for next year that will inflate the country's already huge debt by $484 billion.
The government, which has vowed to reorient spending to households, is spending more on welfare and and education but cutting outlays on public works -- a traditional way for Japanese governments to boost the economy -- by a record 18 percent. [
]Market analysts said that these policies had been seen as positive for stocks related to children such as Pigeon Corp <7956.T>, a maker of baby care products, and negative for construction firms and general contractors, but that this had been already factored in since the Democratic Party took power this autumn. ----------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT @ 2254 GMT ------------
INSTRUMENT LAST PCT CHG NET CHG S&P 500 <.SPX> 1126.48 0.53% 5.890 USD/JPY <JPY=> 91.18 -0.35% -0.320 10-YR US TSY YLD <US10YT=RR> 3.8048 -- 0.000 SPOT GOLD <XAU=> 1103.8 0.00% 0.000 US CRUDE <CLc1> 78.05 0.00% 1.380 DOW JONES <
> 10520.10 0.51% 53.66 ------------------------------------------------------------- > Data lifts Wall St to 2009 highs on Christmas Eve [ ] > U.S. dollar falls versus euro in thin trade [ ] > Prices slip on recipe of strong data and supply [ ] > Gold untraded but silver, platinum inch up [ ] > Oil rises above $78, inventories support [ ]STOCKS TO WATCH
-- Takashimaya Co Ltd <8233.T>
Takashimaya, Japan's third-largest department store chain, kept its full-year profit forecast unchanged on Friday despite a sharp slide in sales, saying extra cost-cutting would make up for the shortfall. [
]-- Skymark Airlines Inc <9204.T>
Skymark is ready to introduce seven more Boeing <BA.N> 737-800 planes to its fleet if the discount carrier can get 20 more landing slots at Tokyo's Haneda airport, a company source said. [
] (Reporting by Aiko Hayashi; Editing by Chris Gallagher)