* Forint touch stronger ahead of rate decision
* IMF approves $30 bln for Poland, reviewing Romania
* Poland offers 27-wk tbills, Romania 7-month tbills
(Adds fixed income, detail)
WARSAW, Jan 24 (Reuters) - Hungary's forint trimmed early moderate gains on Monday as markets awaited a Hungarian interest rate decision while other regional currencies were little changed.
Nineteen of 25 analysts polled by Reuters expect the National Bank of Hungary to raise its base rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 6 percent after it delivered two increases of 25 basis points each in November and December. [
]The forint <EURHUF=> was virtually unchanged at 0932 GMT after giving up earlier gains, with analysts saying the upside for the currency was limited.
"Due to the ex-ante downtrend in EUR/HUF ahead of the rate hike there is hardly any further downward scope in case of an actual rate hike," analysts at Commerzbank wrote in a note.
"If key rates remain unchanged, disappointment might push the currency pair up towards 278."
The rate decision is scheduled for 1300 GMT and the central bank's news conference for 1400 GMT.
Hungary's 3x6 forward rate agreements <HUFFRA>, which project where rates will be in the next three months, price in a 34 basis points rise, or one guaranteed increase of 25 basis points and a small chance of more.
On the bond market, Poland will offer up to 1.2 billion zlotys in 27-week treasury bills on Monday, while Romania will offer seven-month treasury bills.
IMF
The International Monetary Fund approved a new 30 billion dollar credit line for Poland late on Friday, the country's third since 2009 and by far the largest. [
]Market players said the decision was widely expected and so should not have an impact on the zloty.
Poland was the second country, following Mexico, to seek access to the IMF facility, which is designed for emerging economies with solid economic fundamentals.
The IMF was also in play in Romania, where it will give its final review of the country's 20 billion euro bailout.
Analysts expect Bucharest to secure the final tranche of loans from the current deal and seal a fresh precautionary agreement. [
]A successful review and a new deal would reassure markets, lending support to the leu <EURRON=> and will likely reduce the government's borrowing costs, analysts say.
By 0932, the zloty <EURPLN=> and the Czech crown <EURCZK=> each fell some 0.1 percent, while Romania's leu <EURRON=> was some 0.1 percent stronger. --------------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT-------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Local
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today in 2011 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 24.283 24.256 -0.11% +2.95% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 3.875 3.873 -0.05% +2.14% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 274.18 274.08 -0.04% +1.39% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.391 7.394 +0.04% -0.15% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.267 4.269 +0.05% -0.8% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 104.51 104.48 -0.03% +1.36% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR -5 basis points to 46bps over bmk* 7-yr T-bond CZ7YT=RR 0 basis points to +76bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ9YT=RR +2 basis points to +85bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR +1 basis points to +369bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR +1 basis points to +343bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR +1 basis points to +317bps over bmk* The P Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR +1 basis points to +547bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR +4 basis points to +514bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR +2 basis points to +445bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1032 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT.
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