* HUF stronger, shrugs off Moody's downgrade of banks
* Reaction to Romanian budget approval muted
* Impact of euro zone woes on CEE currencies eases
(Adds fixed income)
WARSAW, Dec 7 (Reuters) - Emerging European currencies gained on Tuesday with the Hungarian forint leading the way as investors shrugged off a Moody's downgrade of the country's banks and awaited a parliamentary vote on its 2011 budget targets.
The forint <EURHUF=> picked up from a 1 percent slide on Monday after Moody's cut Hungary's credit rating to just above junk grade, citing concerns about its public finances.
Hungarian lawmakers will vote on key targets in the 2011 budget later on Tuesday. The Economy Ministry's state secretary told parliament that targets for next year would ensure that the deficit would come in below the European Union limit of 3 percent of GDP. [
]"It seems that we're not the story after all," one Budapest-based dealer said.
"Investors ... returned to business. We'll watch the EUR/USD cross, as on all quiet days, and probably strengthen to about 278 to the euro."
Moody's also cut its ratings on Hungary's banks on Tuesday [
], but the move had little impact on the currency and on the stock market, as the country's largest bank OTP <OTPB.BU> already cut its losses and gained some 1 percent.By 1004 GMT the forint was 0.8 percent stronger versus the euro. The Polish zloty <EURPLN=> and Romania's leu <EURRON=> each rose 0.21 percent, while the Czech crown <EURCZK=> was flat.
Hungary's bonds were also stronger, with yields down 7-11 basis points across the curve, and dealers said they expected trade on the bond market to remain relatively stable towards the end of the year though they could deteriorate in 2011.
"The euro firming against the dollar helped the bonds," one fixed-income trader said. "I think investors have more or less finished what they wanted to do this year. What is left for the rest of the year is a (possible) downgrade by Fitch."
"If the government does not announce structural reforms, there will be downgrades (to junk status) in March and the market could explode."
EURO ZONE
The region's currencies have been hit recently by worries over possible contagion in the euro zone crisis, but analysts said this effect seems to have abated for now.
"Of course it is not the euro zone crisis itself that is fading, but it looks like its impact on the region seems to be weaker now," said Ulrich Leuchtmann, analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt.
In Romania, the coalition government on Monday approved a cost-cutting budget for next year, a move that should allow Bucharest to keep its IMF-led aid package on track.
The government took additional measures to boost its revenues by deciding to collect health insurance taxes from most pensioners and to cut spending by halving maternity leave to a year.
Dealers said market reaction to the budget approval was subdued as it still needs to clear parliament, where the government holds a fragile majority and budget talks are usually extended. --------------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT-------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Local
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today in 2010 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 25.006 25.005 0% +5.25% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 4.005 4.014 +0.22% +2.47% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 277.68 279.9 +0.8% -2.64% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.382 7.372 -0.14% -0.99% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4,301 4.308 +0.16% -1.48% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 107.2 107.1 -0.09% -10.56% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR +3 basis points to 103bps over bmk* 7-yr T-bond CZ7YT=RR -5 basis points to +91bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ9YT=RR -3 basis points to +93bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR -1 basis points to +382bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR -3 basis points to +358bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR -3 basis points to +304bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR -10 basis points to +677bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR -15 basis points to +608bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR -11 basis points to +511bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1104 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT.
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