WARSAW, Nov 10 (Reuters) - Hungary's forint and Romania's leu eased against the euro on Monday after ratings agency Fitch cut both countries' ratings in a broad negative move on emerging markets that hurt sentiment toward central European currencies.
Fitch cut Romania to "junk" status nearly two weeks after a Standard & Poor's downgrade turned Romania into the only European Union member with a non-investment grade credit rating [
].The agency also cut it ratings and outlook for a swathe of other emerging market economies after a month in which investors have cashed in investments in the sector due to worries over their ability to draw in capital and fund debt.
At 1012 GMT the forint <EURHUF=> was 0.7 down to the euro at 2678.4, and the Romanian leu <EURRON=> weakened 0.5 percent to the euro at 3.74.
The Czech crown <EURCZK=> fell 0.6 percent to 25.22 per euro after October inflation and jobless data pointed to more interest rate cuts [
]. Poland's zloty <EURPLN=> bucked the trend, gaining 0.6 percent to 3.63 per euro in volatile trade."The leu is falling because of the Fitch downgrade," said one dealer with a Bucharest bank.
"But based on the S&P experience, regional sentiment will be more important in the near future and if emerging markets currencies firm, the leu will relate to them."
Fitch said Hungary's downgrade to BBB from BBB-plus was due to the likely severity of a recession and post-crisis correction, related risks to public finances and foreign currency mismatches in the private sector [
].Monday's ratings downgrade on Hungary follows a similar move by Moody's last Friday [
] as the financial crisis spilled over into central Europe, raising concerns over external financing needs and battering markets in October.A $25 billion Hungarian deal with the International Monetary Fund and European Union helped calm some nerves in the last week or so, although increasingly grim economic outlooks are weighing on the region.
The Czechs last week slashed interest rates by 75 basis points as global central banks respond to mounting economic stress.
"The general trend is still weakening," a Prague trader said.
In other trade, Serbia's dinar <EURRSD=> dipped to 85.18 to the euro. Serbia is another country that has gone to the IMF for possible aid.
Central European bourses opened stronger with Warsaw WIG20 <
> and Prague's PX < > gaining more than 3 percent, tracking global gains.Bonds markets were little changed with dealers saying trade was at a minimum. Czech dealers said the inflation and jobless data did not affect bond prices.
"The market seems to have stabilised," said a Prague-based bond dealer, although he added market makers were still mostly not quoting in a market that has seized up over the last month.
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today in 2008 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 25.217 25.077 -0.56% +4.83% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 3.632 3.653 +0.57% -0.87% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 268.400 266.490 -0.72% -6.15% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.135 7.139 +0.06% +2.61% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 3.744 3.724 -0.54% -4.58% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 85.180 84.847 -0.39% -8.15% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 3-yr T-bond CZ3YT=RR -3 basis points to 130bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond CZ5YT=RR -3 basis points to +143bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ9YT=RR -3 basis points to +88bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR -4 basis points to +362bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR -17 basis points to +332bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR -14 basis points to +260bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR -48 basis points to +1003bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR -58 basis points to +952bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR +3 basis points to +590bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1112 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1500 GMT.
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