TOKYO, June 11 (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei stock average is likely to edge higher on Thursday, breaking above the psychologically important 10,000 level, with Inpex <1605.T> and other oil-linked shares seen up after oil hit a seven-month high.
Shares with links to China, such as Komatsu Ltd <6301.T> and other construction machinery makers, are also likely to be strong, riding a wave of expectations that Chinese indicators later this week will show the recession easing still further.
But overall gains are likely to be limited ahead of economic data such as U.S. May retail sales figures, due out later on Thursday, with profit-taking expected at the highs and the 10,000 level difficult to hold on to.
"The Nikkei is likely to open above 10,000 and may gain some more from there, with 10,200 possible in the short-term, as funds flow into riskier assets like stocks," said Nagayuki Yamagishi, strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities.
"But anything much above 10,200 is going to be extremely difficult without some very good news or clear signs of economic recovery, such as improving company earnings."
The benchmark Nikkei <
> ended just a breath below 10,000 on Wednesday, marking a fresh eight-month closing high. It has risen 42 percent since hitting a March 10 bear-market low.It is expected to move between 9,800 and 10,100 on Thursday after closing at 9,991.49 on Wednesday, market analysts said.
Nikkei futures traded in Chicago <2NKc1> were flat from their Osaka close <JNIc1>, at 10,000, up a mere 0.1 percent.
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INSTRUMENT LAST PCT CHG NET CHG S&P 500 <.SPX> 939.15 -0.35% -3.280 USD/JPY <JPY=> 98.11 -0.1% -0.100 10-YR US TSY YLD <US10YT=RR> 3.9475 -- 0.000 SPOT GOLD <XAU=> 954.95 0.14% 1.300 US CRUDE <CLc1> 71.4 0.10% 0.070 DOW JONES <
> 8739.02 -0.27% -24.04 ------------------------------------------------------------- > Wall St falls as rate worries dent recovery hopes [ ] > US dollar rises as fears over govt debt sales ease [ ] > Supply surge pushes 10-year yields up to 4.0 pct [ ] > Gold ends flat as dollar rises; inflation in focus [ ] > Oil hits 7-month peak as US stockpiles wither [ ] STOCKS TO WATCH-- Yamada Denki Co Ltd <9831.T>
Yamada Denki, Japan's largest consumer electronics retailer, hopes to expand overseas, although it has postponed the opening of a store in China, its first-ever store abroad, by about one year. [
]-- Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corp <9432.T>
NTT's finance unit, NTT Finance Corp, is expected to post a second straight full-year operating loss in fiscal 2009, the Nikkei business daily said. [
]-- Nippon Paper Group Inc <3893.T>
Nippon Paper, Japan's No. 2 paper maker, will likely see a 61 percent drop in operating profit for the April to June quarter, the Nikkei business daily said. [
]-- Inpex <1605.T>, other oil-related shares
Shares of oil and gas field developer Inpex, and other oil related shares, are likely to rise after oil prices surged to a seven-month high near $72 a barrel on Wednesday after a U.S. government report showed a slowdown in crude imports eating away at inventories in the world's top energy user. [
]-- Nippon Steel Corp <5401.T>
Nippon Steel, the world's second-biggest steelmaker, said demand for steel has been improving but the recovery lacks strength, despite some bright signs that Japanese manufacturers are gearing up production. (Reporting by Elaine Lies; Editing by Chris Gallagher)