* Dollar turns lower vs the euro after U.S. jobs, trade data * India's gold buyers welcome lower prices * SPDR gold ETF holdings steady after heavy outflow
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By Jan Harvey
LONDON, Dec 10 (Reuters) - Gold recovered its early losses on Thursday as the dollar fell versus the euro on data showing a narrower-than-expected U.S. trade deficit and better continuing jobless claims, which cut risk-driven buying of the U.S. unit.
Spot gold <XAU=> was bid at $1,130.20 an ounce at 1407 GMT, against $1,128.80 late in New York on Wednesday. Earlier it dropped as low as $1,121.30 an ounce.
Data showed the U.S. trade deficit shrank to $32.94 billion in October, while the U.S. Labor department said continuing jobless claims fell to 5.157 million in the latest week from 5.46 million a week before. [
]. [ ]The euro rose to $1.4752 <EUR=> after the data from $1.4725 before its release. But analysts say the upward trend in gold, which took the metal to record highs at $1,226.10 an ounce a week ago, is unlikely to be resumed before year-end.
"Year-end considerations, book squaring, argue for further dollar strength, which will keep gold under pressure," said Calyon analyst Robin Bhar.
"As we go into the new year, with fresh allocations, gold is one of the commodities that will be in favour due to a whole host of longer-term positive factors."
Gold's performance will be dependent on further losses in the dollar. Weakness in the U.S. unit boosts gold's appeal as an alternative asset, and makes dollar-priced commodities cheaper for holders of other currencies.
Nonetheless, persistent fears over the outlook for the global economy and concerns over sovereign debt will continue to support gold, analysts said.
"There is still a lot of uncertainty next year, which will support the precious metals," said Saxo Bank senior manager Ole Hansen. "Gold will definitely have a decent upside and we will see new highs in the new year."
CORRECTION SEEN
Technical analysts, who study charts of past price movements to determine the future direction of trade, say gold prices could see further correction before any further push higher.
"Gold remains vulnerable to further weakness for a push to $1,100/$1,070 zone before renewed basing potential," said Barclays Capital in a note.
"It is a similar story for silver following the break of... November 27 low support at 18.01/17.67, pointing to continued losses towards $16.09/$15.74 September/October congestion and potentially beyond."
Silver <XAG=> was bid at $17.37 an ounce against $17.38.
Among other commodities, oil steadied near $71 a barrel on Thursday after sliding more than 2 percent to a two-month low a day earlier. Gold tends to track crude prices, as the metal can be bought as a hedge against oil-led inflation. [
]Elsewhere, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, the SPDR Gold Trust, said its holdings were unchanged on Wednesday after an outflow of nearly 14 tonnes a day before, their biggest drop since July. [
]In India, the world's biggest bullion consumer last year, dealers say buyers are being tempted back into the market after gold's $100 an ounce retreat from record highs. [
]"People are buying on dips," said a dealer at a Mumbai bank.
High prices have weighed heavily on demand for gold this year in key jewellery buying centres like India and the Middle East. Global jewellery demand fell by more than a fifth in the first half of 2009, according to the World Gold Council.
In supply news, South Africa, a major gold producer, said its output of the precious metal fell 5.8 percent year-on-year in October. [
]Meanwhile platinum <XPT=> was at $1,415 an ounce against $1,416.50, while palladium <XPD=> was at $362.50 against $362. (Editing by James Jukwey)