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By Lynn Adler
NEW YORK, Jan 29 (Reuters) - Global stocks rose on Wednesday on investors' optimism that a U.S. Federal Reserve policy move will help lift the U.S. economy, though bond prices eased on ideas that stronger data will make the Fed less aggresive.
The dollar rose, along with stocks, after reports on durable goods orders and consumer confidence came in surprisingly strong, though the figures created jitters in the bond market.
In advance of the Fed meeting, traders were fairly evenly split as to whether the central bank would cut benchmark U.S. rates by 1/2-percentage point or 1/4 point in its two-day policy meeting that ends on Wednesday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average <
> rose initially on hopes of another deep cut after last week's aggressive 3/4-point rate cut in an emergency action from the Fed.European stocks ended higher on the U.S. rate cut expectations and the view that the durable goods report did not point to a recession. To read more about the durable goods reading, see [
].The FTSEurofirst 300 index <
> of top European shares rose 1.5 percent, extending its rebound from last week's two-year lows.Shares of French bank Societe Generale <SOGN.PA>, slammed last week after a massive loss it blamed on a rogue trader, soared nearly 11 percent on market talk that rival bank BNP Paribas <BNPP.PA> could initiate a takeover bid.
The MSCI main world equity index <.MIWD00000PUS> rose 1.02 percent, having hit its lowest since October 2006 last week.
Some traders were already looking beyond the Fed meeting to the report of U.S. nonfarm payrolls for January, reported by the Labor Department on Friday.
"If we get a decent January jobs report, with upward revisions to December, I think the recession and end-of the world scenario gets shoved into an open elevator shaft," said Michael Darda, chief economist at MKM Partners LLC in Greenwich, Connecticut.
The economic data also underpinned the dollar versus the euro and yen, but many investors were on the sidelines before the Fed meeting's conclusion. Read more at [
].Easier monetary policy helps riskier assets such as stocks but lowers the premium the dollar offers, making it less attractive to hold the U.S. currency. A lower dollar in turn makes it cheaper to buy gold.
U.S. gold and platinum futures fell on Tuesday after setting record highs overnight, as investors locked in profits before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
Treasury bond prices sank as stocks rose and on signs the U.S. economy may not be as dire as previously predicted. Benchmark 10-year notes <US10YT=RR> fell 29/32 in price, lifting the yield to 3.69 percent from 3.58 percent late Monday. Bond yields move inversely to price.
Although the size of the anticipated U.S. rate cut may now be clouded, there is still consensus that the rates will drop.
"Certainly, it is not going to prevent the Fed from cutting rates tomorrow," Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates in St. Petersberg, Florida, said after the durable goods report.
BEARS LINGER
The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its forecast for world growth this year in the face of continued stress in global credit markets and warned that economic activity could slow even further.
"The overall balance of risks to the global growth outlook is still tilted to the downside," the IMF said in an update to its semiannual World Economic Outlook released on October. Read more at [
].Despite the MSCI's bounce, the index has fallen around 14 percent since hitting all-time highs in November, raising concerns that world stocks are in a bearish downward trend.
"If it quacks like a duck and walks like a duck, it probably is a duck. And I've got to say it feels very much like a bear market," said Edward Menashy, economist and strategist at Charles Stanley in London. "There's apathy about the place. There's a sense of helplessness and despair,"
(Additional reporting by Natsuko Waki in London, Caroline Valetkevitch and Pedro Nicolaci da Costa in New York, Alister Bull and Glenn Somerville in Washington, D.C. Editing by Richard Satran)