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By Jason Hovet
PRAGUE, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Central Europe's currencies weakened on Friday, with the Czech crown falling after a steep drop in inflation and Romania's leu near a record low, while the Russia-Ukraine gas dispute weighed on sentiment in the region.
Data so far this year has entrenched expectations that emerging Europe's economies are set for a deep slowdown after years of fast growth, and analysts expect prospects of monetary easing to weigh on the region's currencies.
Romania's leu <EURRON=> stuck to record low levels around 4.2 per euro on Friday with the country's large current account deficit a concern, while Hungary's forint <EURHUF=> dropped 0.9 percent to 275.95 per euro, near lows hit when the global financial crisis swept through the region in October.
"The sentiment is still poor on Romania and commercial demand adds up to it," one dealer said. "But 4.2 seems a level of resistance; a London-based player is booking profits at this level and some have started to build positions betting on a potential central bank intervention."
Dealers said the central bank covertly supported the leu in December, but has thus far stepped aside.
In the Czech Republic, December inflation continued a steep drop back to the central bank's target range, data showed on Friday, raising expectations interest rates will fall to new lows in the first half of this year. [
]By 1039 GMT, the crown <EURCZK=> fell 1 percent from Thursday's levels to 26.5 per euro. Poland's zloty was a touch up but still past the key 4.0 per euro level.
Currencies ended 2008 sharply down, and have fallen back in the past few days after a short-lived rally to start 2009 as economic woes come to focus.
The hard-hit zloty is off 18 percent since Oct. 1, while the forint has lost 12.4 percent, the crown 6.9 percent and leu 9.8 percent.
"It's still the same story. Corrections are part of the game, and we saw a healthy correction but the (weakening) trend now continues," a Prague dealer said.
On Thursday, data showed Hungarian industrial output dived in November and the Czech trade balance posted a deficit with a collapse of demand in Europe taking a larger toll on eastern Europe. [
]Adding to concern, a dragging Russia-Ukraine gas dispute that has cut supplies to Europe has raised worries over production cuts, further denting sentiment about central European assets. [
]The region's largest economy Poland got a boost on Thursday with news the world's No. 2 PC maker was moving its European manufacturing base from Ireland to Poland, but was not enough to change the view on softer growth and zloty weakening.
"Its always a good news in terms of a business climate, but we have to remember, that in the time of crisis good news are overshadowed by the bad ones," a Warsaw dealer said.
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today in 2009 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 26.5 26.237 -1.00% +0.95% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 4.042 4.049 +0.17% +1.77% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 275.95 273.4 -0.93% -4.7% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.318 7.307 -0.15% +0.64% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.2 4.179 -0.5% -4.62% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 93.669 94.26 +0.63% -4.68% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 3-yr T-bond CZ3YT=RR -6 basis points to 178bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond CZ5YT=RR -3 basis points to +166bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ9YT=RR +4 basis points to +106bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR +3 basis points to +826bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR +4 basis points to +754bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR +4 basis points to +597bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1139 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT. For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news [
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