* Crude stocks expected to have fallen 2.9 million barrels
* Forecasts for warmer US weather pressures oil prices
* Technicals point to consolidation between $90.12-$91.50
* Coming up: API U.S. inventory data, 2130 GMT
(Adds analysts, updates prices)
By Randy Fabi and Dmitry Zhdannikov
SINGAPORE, Dec 29 (Reuters) - Oil steadied near a two-year high above $91 a barrel on Wednesday ahead of U.S. inventory data expected to show a drawdown in crude and distillate stocks due to severe weather in the world's largest oil user.
NYMEX crude for February delivery <CLc1> edged 34 cents down to $91.15 a barrel at 1045 GMT, while ICE Brent crude <LCOc1> traded 28 cents down at $94.10.
U.S. oil prices climbed to a 26-month high of $91.88 on Monday, supported by cold weather on both sides of the Atlantic, a weak dollar and OPEC's statements that it saw no need for an urgent meeting to boost output.
"Investors are especially keen to follow whatever factor is most supportive of prices moving higher," said analysts at Cameron Hanover in a research note.
Bullish money managers have stormed into the oil market, setting a fresh record high for net long crude positions on the New York Mercantile Exchange. [
]Oil's rally looked all the more secure due to rhetoric from several OPEC ministers, who last weekend signalled $100 was a fair price. [
]The rise in oil, however, took a breather on Wednesday on mixed U.S. economic data with crude also being affected by forecasts of warmer temperatures in the snow-choked U.S. Northeast [
] and a strengthening dollar."The stock market is strong and there are a lot of calls for the S&P 500 <.SPX> to reach next year close to a new all time high, but such great enthusiasm when housing data have for months not shown any signs of improvement is worrying," said Olivier Jakob from Petromatrix.
U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly deteriorated in December, while prices of single-family homes fell almost double the expected pace in October. [
]For a graphic on asset returns in 2010
http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/F/12/GLB_MKTQ410.html
DROP IN U.S. INVENTORIES
JBC Energy analysts said in a note oil prices were supported by potential drawdowns to be shown by U.S. inventory reports.
"Attention should be paid to gasoline, with U.S. retail sales of the transportation fuel climbing by 4.6 percent last week (week-on-week, MasterCard)," said JBC.
The icy weather has boosted distillate needs, which includes heating oil and diesel fuel, and U.S. distillates stocks were expected to have fallen 500,000 barrels last week, a Reuters poll showed. [
]Crude inventories in the world's biggest economy were pegged to have fallen 2.9 million barrels, while gasoline stocks were seen up 1.5 million barrels.
The American Petroleum Institute is expected to report its weekly inventory data later on Wednesday, delayed by a day due to the Christmas holiday. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) will issue its weekly report on Thursday.
The dollar index, which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of major currencies, was down 0.06 percent at 1043 GMT, having recovered from minus 0.26 percent earlier on Wednesday.
Technicals point to oil prices consolidating between $90.12 and $91.50, with a bias towards a drop to $90.12, according to a Reuters market analyst. [
](Editing by Keiron Henderson)