* FX stronger in thin trade due to U.S holidays
* Zloty within reach of 4.0 vs euro, dealers say
* IMF may give Romania more time on pension reform
(Updates throughout)
By Marius Zaharia and Dagmara Leszkowicz
BUCHAREST/WARSAW, Jan 18 (Reuters) - Central European currencies rose on Monday in thin trade due to the U.S holidays and the zloty could test 4.0 per euro soon, dealers say.
Central European currencies and bonds have been helped so far this year by an improved outlook in the region and by a higher appetite for carry trades, but worries over fiscal imbalances and political risk related to elections may limit gains.
"There's risk appetite among investors, the region is constantly strengthening and we're already awaiting the zloty to strengthen below 4.0 against the euro," one Warsaw-based dealer said.
"If nothing extraordinary appears, the zloty may hit 4.0 vs euro even tomorrow."
Poland's zloty <EURPLN=> got additional support from the central bank governor who said the bank would use all available means to safeguard zloty stability.
Another central banker, new Monetary Policy Council (MPC) member Andrzej Rzonca said it was very probable that interest rates would be hiked by the end of 2010 [
].At 1505 GMT, the zloty <EURPLN=> was 0.4 percent stronger than on Friday afternoon and traded at 4.02 against the euro. The Czech crown <EURCZK=> and Hungary's forint <EURHUF=> were up 0.3 percent and 0.2 percent to the euro respectively.
In Romania, the IMF said it would likely give Romania more time to begin streamlining its pension system, a key anti-crisis move, helping to get its 20 billion euro aid package on track. [
]The IMF put the aid package on hold in November as political deadlock froze reforms in the recession-hit economy and caused the original end-December deadline to fix pensions to be missed.
The leu <EURRON=> was 0.1 percent stronger against the euro. Romania's finance ministry sold a more than planned 2.4 billion lei in one-year treasury bills with demand exceeding 6 billon lei.[
]Bonds were mixed with Poland's papers stronger ahead of a Wednesday bond auction.
"Sentiment is still positive. The strengthening was caused by good demand for Poland's t-bills and a stronger zloty," said Krzysztof Izdebski, fixed income dealer at PKO BP in Warsaw.
Poland's finance ministry sold 638 million zlotys in its 52-week treasury bills with demand reaching almost 4 billion zlotys. It will offer a total of 1.5-2.5 billion zlotys of 10-year and 20-year papers at Wednesday's tender.
Signalling improved funding conditions, the Swiss National Bank said it will suspend fx swaps with Hungary and Poland next week. Swap deals were made last year to provide Swiss franc funding to banks when liquidity dried up [
]. --------------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT-------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Localclose currency currency
change change
today in 2009 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 25.868 25.936 +0.26% +1.74% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 4.022 4.038 +0.4% +2.04% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 267 267.56 +0.21% +1.25% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.281 7.285 +0.05% +0.39% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.102 4.104 +0.05% +3.3% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 96.781 96.84 +0.06% -0.93% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 3-yr T-bond CZ3YT=RR +7 basis points to 85bps over bmk* 7-yr T-bond CZ7YT=RR -22 basis points to +107bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ10YT=RR +6 basis points to +123bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR +1 basis points to +386bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR +1 basis points to +322bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR +2 basis points to +286bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR -1 basis points to +537bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR +1 basis points to +493bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR +2 basis points to +439bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1505 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT.
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