TOKYO, Dec 9 (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei average is expected to edge higher and seen testing a fresh seven-month high on Thursday as the yen's recent weakness is likely to attract solid demand from investors.
Exporters' shares are expected to be supported after the dollar's three-day advance against the yen <JPY=>, helped by proposed tax cut extensions that sparked a rally in U.S. bond yields.
Still, the Nikkei's rise could be limited by views that the market is overheated and ahead of the settlement of futures and options prices on Friday, analysts said.
"The strength of global share prices and the yen's weakness will keep the Nikkei well-supported, but the market may be a bit overheated, which could limit strong gains," said Hiroichi Nishi, general manager of equity marketing at Nikko Cordial Securities.
Nikkei futures in Chicago <2NKc1> closed up 0.4 percent at 10,280 against the Osaka close <JNIc1> of 10,140.
The benchmark Nikkei <
> is expected to move in a range of 10,200 to 10,350, analysts said.On Wednesday, the Nikkei closed up 0.9 percent at 10,232.33, having touched an intraday high of 10,258.90 -- its highest level since May 18.
Yumi Nishimura, a senior market analyst at Daiwa Securities Capital Markets, said the short-term up-down ratio is seen at 158.27, the highest level since 1977, while a figure above 120 is considered overheated.
The ratio is calculated by dividing the 25-day moving average of stocks that gained the previous by those that fell.
Investors were reluctant about taking large new positions ahead of the settlement price on Friday.
The settlement is known in Japan as the special quotation or "SQ", which is calculated from the opening prices of the 225 shares on the Nikkei average on the second Friday of the month.
Options traders said the Nikkei could stay around 10,250 to 10,300 until Friday as futures and options contracts expiring in December are expected to settle around their level on that day.
Japanese shares hit a seven-month high on Wednesday, but more upbeat factors such as good economic indicators from both domestic and overseas markets are needed to test the next resistance level of 10,380, analysts say. ----------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT @ 2336 GMT ------------
INSTRUMENT LAST PCT CHG NET CHG S&P 500 <.SPX> 1228.28 0.37% 4.530 USD/JPY <JPY=> 84.08 0.1% 0.080 10-YR US TSY YLD <US10YT=RR> 3.2723 -- 0.000 SPOT GOLD <XAU=> 1380.69 -0.06% -0.800 US CRUDE <CLc1> 88.63 0.40% 0.350 DOW JONES <
> 11372.48 0.12% 13.32 ------------------------------------------------------------- > Financials, semiconductors help Wall St advance [ ] > Dollar heads for biggest 3-day rise versus yen [ ] > Treasury prices all for second day on deficit fears [ ] > Gold falls for 2nd day as Treasuries extend [ ] > Oil down on high U.S. fuel stocks, firm dollar [ ]STOCKS TO WATCH:
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] (Reporting by Ayai Tomisawa and Chikafumi Hodo; Editing by Michael Watson) ($1=83.99 Yen)