By Tom Miles
HONG KONG, Feb 12 (Reuters) - Asian shares edged higher on Tuesday after the latest bounce on Wall Street failed to dispel fears about a U.S. recession, while supply worries kept commodity prices high.
Global investors are alert for any sign of further fallout from the subprime mortgage crisis which could weaken the financial sector and are worried about a possible downgrade of U.S. bond insurers, so-called monolines such as MBIA Inc <MBI.N>.
"There's been talk for a long time that a (credit) rate cut decision on the monoline firms was due in mid-February, and we're almost there now," said Nagayuki Yamagishi, a strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities.
"Even though people know this is likely to happen, and when, the fact is that there is still quite a lot of worry out there about the issue."
The grim stock market mood has given Japanese government bonds [
] some support, but buyers were reluctant to jump into bonds before the March 31 fiscal year end, dealers said.MSCI's index of Asian stocks outside Japan <.MIAPJ0000PUS> was up 0.5 percent at 0230 GMT, while the Tokyo market, back from a holiday on Monday, nudged 0.1 percent higher.
Global equities lost $5.2 trillion in January, according to Standard & Poors, and last week the Dow Jones industrial average <
> had its worst week in almost five years.But the U.S. index bounced 0.5 percent on Monday, as General Motors Corp <GM.N> surged 5 percent on positive broker comments and oil stocks Exxon Mobil Corp <XOM.N> and Chevron Corp <CVX.N> gained from an oil price rally.
COMMODITIES STRONG
U.S. crude <CLc1> hit $94.72 a barrel, the highest since Jan. 10, before settling at $93.59. It slipped a further 24 cents to $93.35 in early Asian trade.
Oil prices jumped nearly after Venezuela, which is the fourth biggest supplier of crude to the United States and in a legal battle with Exxon, threatened to halt sales to the United States.
Supply problems have also fuelled other commodities, such as platinum <XPT=>, a vital ingredient in catalytic converters which reduce vehicle exhaust fumes. It hit a fresh fresh record high on Tuesday due to lingering supply concerns in South Africa, which produces some 80 percent of the world's metal.
Currency market movements were muted, with U.S. stock gains helping the dollar shake off some recent losses, while the euro struggled on uncertainty about possible European Central Bank interest rate cuts to ward off a slowing global economy in the coming months.
The dollar was trading at 106.9 yen <JPY=> while the euro was at $1.4518 <EUR=>.
SMOULDERING FEAR
The fear of a U.S. recession has continued to smoulder despite repeated official reassurances.
"I think the best bet is that we will not have a recession," St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President William Poole said on Monday, later adding: "There is no question that the odds (of recession) are higher than they used to be." [
]And Jean-Claude Juncker, chairman of the Eurogroup meetings of euro zone finance ministers and the European Central Bank, was quoted on Monday as saying top finance ministers had agreed to take collective measures to calm financial markets if there were irrational price movements.
But financial sector worries sparked anew after the auditors of American International Group Inc <AIG.N>, the world's largest insurer, warned about further losses on U.S. mortgages, knocking 12 percent off its shares. [
]The news hit Asian financial firms, with Japan's Millea Holdings <8766.T> was down 4.5 percent, and No. 2 bank Mizuho Financial Group <8411.T> down 1.8 percent.
However, Yahoo Japan Corp <4689.T> was up 1 percent after Yahoo Inc <YHOO.O> rejected Microsoft Corp's <MSFT.O> takeover bid as too low, raising the possibility of a higher offer [
].Taiwan stocks <
>, back after a week-long Lunar New Year holiday, fell 1.3 percent in a catch up with recent global falls, while declines in banks and retailers on fears of higher interest rates weighed in Australiax < >. (Additional reporting by Elaine Lies in TOKYO, Kim Soyoung in SEOUL; Editing by Lincoln Feast)