(updated on July 6 with retail sales)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED* KEY INTEREST RATES ECB'S TWO-WEEK REPO rate (pct) 1.00 last changed MAY 7, 2009 former rate (pct) 1.25 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP Q1/10 Q4/09 Q1/09 FY/09 (pct change yr/yr) +4.8 -2.6 -5.7 -4.7 Final consumption Household +0.4 -1.9 -0.9 -0.7 Government +6.2 +2.9 +1.3 +2.8 Gross fixed capital
formation -0.4 -7.3 -3.9 -10.5 Foreign trade balance
exports of goods
and services +16.8 -5.2 -25.5 -16.5
imports of goods
and services +9.9 -10.3 -22.3 -17.6
--------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP (pct change yr/yr) FY/2009 -4.7 FY/2008 +6.2 (+6.4) FY/2007 +10.6 (+10.4) FY/2006 +8.5 (+8.3) FY/2005 +6.7 (+6.6) FY/2004 +5.0 (+5.2) FY/2003 +4.8 (+4.8) FY/2002 +4.6 (+4.8) FY/2001 +3.5 (+3.4) FY/2000 +1.4 (+1.4) -------------------------------------------------------------- C/A BALANCE APRIL/10 MARCH/10 APRIL/09 (mln euro) +6.0 -63.0 +84.0 C/A BALANCE END-2009 END-2008 (bln euro) -1.938 -4.433 -------------------------------------------------------------- FOREIGN TRADE APRIL 10 MARCH 10 APRIL 09 JAN-DEC 09 (mln euro) Imports 3,628.9 3,872.6 3,002.7 38,528.7 Exports 3,969.5 4,069.7 3,324.2 39,715.6 Balance +340.5 +197.2 +321.5 +1,186.8 DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change) nominal imports +20.9 +16.7 -36.4 -23.4 nominal exports +19.4 +21.7 -25.8 -19.8 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION MAY 10 APRIL 10 MAY 09 pct change mo/mo +0.1 +0.4 +0.1 pct change yr/yr +0.7 +0.7 +1.1 SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI MAY 10 APRIL 10 MAY 10 pct change mo/mo +0.1 +0.4 +0.1 pct change yr/yr +1.2 +1.3 +1.9 SLOVAK CORE CPI pct change mo/mo +0.1 +0.5 +0.1 pct change yr/yr +1.5 +1.5 +0.6 --------------------------------------------------------------- CENTRAL STATE BUDGET JAN-JUNE/10 JAN-JUNE/09 FY 2010 PLAN (mln euro) revenues 4,877.039 4,604.964 12,530.994 expenditure 7,316.324 5,713.393 16,277.000 balance -2,439.284 -1,108.429 -3,746.006 --------------------------------------------------------------- PRODUCER PRICES FEB/10 JAN/10 FEB/09 pct change month/month -1.6 -1.7 +0.5 pct change year/year -7.4 -5.4 +1.8 --------------------------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT APRIL 10 MARCH 10 APRIL 09 pct change yr/yr +21.0 +19.2 -20.7 --------------------------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL ORDERS APRIL/10 MARCH/10 APRIL/09 pct change m/m 0.0 +5.1 -2.3 pct change y/y +35.9 +31.9 -37.6 volume (mln euro) 2,782.4 2,975.3 2,075.6 --------------------------------------------------------------- CONSTRUCTION OUPUT APRIL 10 MARCH 10 APRIL 09
pct change yr/yr -1.2 -12.9 -13.9 -------------------------------------------------------------- *SELECTED SECTOR SALES MAY 10 APRIL 10 MAY 09 JAN-DEC 09 (pct change yr/yr) Retail sales -3.1 -5.4 -12.0 -10.3 Vehicle sales and maintenance -14.3 -19.3 -15.5 -17.9 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q1/10 Q4/09 Q1/09 FY/09 real pct change yr/yr +1.6 +1.6 +1.7 +1.4 nominal pct change yr/yr +2.1 +2.1 +4.7 +3.0 SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES MAY 09 APRIL 09 MAY 08 FY/08 real pct change yr/yr -3.4 -0.3 +3.2 +2.8 nominal pct change yr/yr -1.3 +2.0 +7.9 +7.5 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT MAY 10 APRIL 10 MAY 09 pct of workforce 12.25 12.52 11.39 number of available jobless 329,042 336,377 301,871 --------------------------------------------------------------- ECONOMIC FORECASTS: GDP EU-NORM CPI C/A DATE
'10 '11 '10 '11 '10 '11
FinMin +3.2 +3.8 +1.0 +2.8 -3.5 -3.9 June 14
NBS +3.7 +4.3 +0.8 +2.7 -3.3 -2.0 June 15
EC +2.7 +3.6 +1.3 +2.8 -4.5 -4.1 May 5 Notes: FinMin - Finance Ministry NBS - National Bank of Slovakia - GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr) - EU-NORM CPI - Annual average consumer price index, calculated under the EU methodology (pct) - C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP) - DATE - The date of the forecast release