* Currencies firm, zloty leads as FX option harm seen milder
* Polish cbank holds rates, FX options fcasts upbeat
* Region benefits from dollar, yen weakening
* Czech eurobond eases pressure on local debt market
(Adds Polish rate decision, market reaction)
By Marton Dunai and Marius Zaharia
BUDAPEST/BUCHAREST, April 29 (Reuters) - Emerging European currencies firmed on Wednesday on the back of a weaker dollar and yen, and the zloty got a boost from lower forecasts for the scale of companies' exposure to soured currency options.
The zloty firmed more than its peers as Poland's financial watchdog halved its prediction for the option exposure, one driver of the currency's weakness since last year, to 4.5 billion zlotys. [
]Many Polish companies got into trouble by hedging the wrong way last year when the zloty was trading at record highs.
With those concerns easing, markets showed little reaction to Poland's central bank's decision to pause in its cycle of interest rates for the first time since November, with many analysts saying the bank is still likely to ease. [
]"I think the central bank will remain relatively dovish," said Gillian Edgeworth, an economist at Deutsche Bank, ahead of a NBP press conference expected for later in the day. "Economic activity remains weak, and (...) inflation pressures continue to trend downwards."
"Looking ahead, one to two modest rate cuts seem plausible," she added.
Poland has gone through an aggressive 225 basis point easing since November to help its slowing economy, but this has added a significant weakening pressure on the zloty, which lost 30 percent from summer highs as the financial crisis unfolded.
By 12:25 GMT, the zloty <EURPLN=> rose 1.5 percent from the domestic close, the Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> gained 1.2 percent, while the Czech crown <EURCZK=> remained stable and the Romanian leu <EURRON=> added 0.6 percent.
GLOBAL SENTIMENT HELPS
Dealers said the region also gained from stronger tolerance to risk due to benign U.S. housing data on Tuesday and some stronger than expected corporate results.
But concerns about a global swine flu outbreak still weighed, threatening to add to a global slowdown that has hit central Europe's export-driven economies.
In debt markets, Hungarian bonds ticked up in line with the forint, while Czech bonds were little changed.
The Czech Republic priced a 1.5 billion 2014 euro bond on Wednesday, and said it was unlikely to return to international markets this year. [
].The eurobond issue takes pressure off the local debt market, securing a large chunk of the country's financing needs.
----------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT------------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Local
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today in 2009 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 26.686 26.71 +0.09% +0.25% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 4.419 4.485 +1.49% -6.88% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 289.3 292.9 +1.24% -8.9% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.418 7.436 +0.24% -0.71% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.185 4.213 +0.67% -4.08% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 95.023 95.02 0% -5.83% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR -4 basis points to +189bps over bmk* 4-yr T-bond CZ4YT=RR +3 basis points to +205bps over bmk* 8-yr T-bond CZ8YT=RR -3 basis points to +297bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR -5 basis points to +426bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR -3 basis points to +366bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR -6 basis points to +308bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR -26 basis points to +1123bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR -61 basis points to +1048bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR -52 basis points to +897bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1422 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT. For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news [
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