* Three-month segment EBITDA $19.7 mln, above forecast
* Sees bottom to ad spend decline within a year
* Shares climb up to 10 pct on figures hitting forecasts
(Adds details, quotes, shares)
By Jason Hovet
PRAGUE, April 29 (Reuters) - Central European Media Enterprises (CME) warned declining advertising spending will persist in its emerging Europe markets even into early next year after the broadcaster reported "its toughest quarter" ever.
CME <CETV.O> <
> said on Wednesday its first-quarter core profit plunged 74 percent to $19.7 million, while revenue, which is booked in battered local currencies, fell 37 percent to $141.2 million due also to a stronger dollar.Both figures were in line with CME's guidance in March.
The Bermuda-registered broadcaster received a shot in the arm last month when Time Warner <TWX.N> agreed to take a 31 percent stake for $241.5 million.
"Uncertainty about TV ad spending in 2009 will persist," CME said in an investor presentation. "We believe the decline in TV ad spend will reach bottom between the third quarter of 2009 and first quarter of 2010."
Breaking tradition, the company declined to provide a more detailed full-year guidance, only saying that conditions in the second quarter would be similar to the first.
CME shares jumped as much as 10 percent in Prague and 9 percent on the Nasdaq by late afternoon as investors breathed a sigh of relief that the results were not as bad as some feared.
The global downturn has pushed CME's seven markets in central and eastern Europe such as Ukraine and the Czech Republic to or near the brink of recession, squeezing the advertising sales that makes up most of its stations' earnings.
"The results confirmed 2009 will be a tough year," Komercni Banka analyst Josef Nemy said, noting double digit declines in ad spending.
Core profit measured by segment EBITDA, or profit of individual stations excluding interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and general corporate costs, fell to $19.7 million.
Analysts polled by Reuters gave an average estimate for $18.8 million. CME posted an attributable net loss of $44.4 million in the first quarter, narrower than estimates and compared to profit of $14.4 million a year ago.
"The first quarter of 2009 was the toughest in our history across all markets," CME President and Chief Operating Officer Adrian Sarbu said in a statement.
CME said its stations, most dominant in the Czech Republic and Romania, gained market share on an annual basis.
It said the ad spending outlook remained grim as the region's businesses suffer under falling consumer spending, rising unemployment and lost orders from western customers.
CME shares are down 76.4 percent over the past 12 months, underperforming a 46.5 percent fall in the Prague index <
>. But the stock has nearly doubled in price since the announcement of the Time Warner deal on March 23.Also on Wednesday, Time Warner Inc posted a quarterly profit ahead of expectations as a rise in cable networks revenue helped offset declines in advertising sales at its AOL Internet and Time Inc publishing units. [
] (Reporting by Jason Hovet; Editing by Chris Borowski and Andrew Macdonald)