(Updated on Nov 29 with Oct producer prices)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED* KEY INTEREST RATES ECB'S TWO-WEEK REPO rate (pct) 1.00 last changed MAY 7, 2009 former rate (pct) 1.25 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP Q3/10 flash estimate
(pct change q/q) +0.9
(pct change y/y) +3.7 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP Q2/10 Q1/10 Q2/09 FY/09 (pct change yr/yr) +4.7 +4.8 -5.5 -4.7 Final consumption Household -1.0 +0.4 +1.9 -0.7 Government -1.2 +6.2 +6.9 +2.8 Gross fixed capital
formation -1.9 -0.4 -17.7 -10.5 Foreign trade balance
exports of goods
and services +16.5 +16.8 -20.3 -16.5
imports of goods
and services +14.4 +9.9 -22.2 -17.6
--------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP (pct change yr/yr) FY/2009 -4.8 (-4.7) FY/2008 +5.8 (+6.2) FY/2007 +10.5 (+10.6) FY/2006 +8.5 (+8.5) FY/2005 +6.7 (+6.7) FY/2004 +5.1 (+5.0) FY/2003 +4.8 (+4.8) FY/2002 +4.6 (+4.6) FY/2001 +3.5 (+3.5) FY/2000 +1.4 (+1.4) -------------------------------------------------------------- C/A BALANCE AUG/10 JULY/10 AUG/09 (mln euro) -421.0 -328.0 +16.0 C/A BALANCE END-2009 END-2008 (bln euro) -1.938 -4.433 -------------------------------------------------------------- FOREIGN TRADE SEPT 10 AUG 10 SEPT 09 JAN-DEC 09 (mln euro) Imports 4,353.8 4,041.2 3,472.2 38,528.7 Exports 4,416.8 3,794.4 3,712.8 39,715.6 Balance +63.0 -246.8 +240.6 1,186.8 DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change) nominal imports +25.4 +38.7 -21.7 -23.4 nominal exports +19.0 +21.2 -16.3 -19.8 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION OCT 10 SEPT 10 OCT 09 pct change mo/mo 0.0 0.0 0.2 pct change yr/yr 1.0 1.1 -0.1 SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI OCT 10 SEPT 10 OCT 09 pct change mo/mo 0.0 0.0 0.1 pct change yr/yr 1.0 1.1 0.0 SLOVAK CORE CPI pct change mo/mo 0.0 0.0 0.4 pct change yr/yr 1.4 1.3 -0.8 --------------------------------------------------------------- CENTRAL STATE BUDGET JAN-OCT/10 JAN-OCT/09 FY 2010 PLAN (mln euro) revenues 8,474.540 8,210.267 12,530.994 expenditure 11,847.948 9,747.510 16,277.000 balance -3,373.408 -1,537.243 -3,746.006 --------------------------------------------------------------- *PRODUCER PRICES OCT/10 SEPT/10 OCT/09 pct change month/month +0.1 -0.2 -0.1 pct change year/year +2.1 +1.9 -8.2 --------------------------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT SEPT 10 AUG 10 SEPT 09 pct change yr/yr +13.5 +16.3 -7.4 --------------------------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL ORDERS SEPT 10 AUG 10 SEPT 09 pct change m/m +2.0 +4.9 -3.6 pct change y/y +13.4 +12.8 -11.9 volume (mln euro) 3,089.4 2,636.5 2,721.6 --------------------------------------------------------------- CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT SEPT 10 AUG 10 SEPT 09
pct change yr/yr -6.5 -0.6 -16.9 --------------------------------------------------------------- SELECTED SECTOR SALES SEPT/10 AUG/10 SEPT/09 JAN-DEC 09 (pct change yr/yr) Retail sales -1.8 -1.8 -9.2 -10.3 Vehicle sales and maintenance +11.5 +11.5 -19.2 -17.9 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q2/10 Q1/10 Q2/09 FY/09 real pct change yr/yr +2.4 +1.6 +0.9 +1.4 nominal pct change yr/yr +3.6 +2.1 +2.8 +3.0 SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES MAY 09 APRIL 09 MAY 08 FY/08 real pct change yr/yr -3.4 -0.3 +3.2 +2.8 nominal pct change yr/yr -1.3 +2.0 +7.9 +7.5 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT OCT 10 SEPT 10 OCT 09 pct of workforce 12.29 12.42 12.40 number of available jobless 330,200 333,841 328,583 --------------------------------------------------------------- ECONOMIC FORECASTS: GDP EU-NORM CPI C/A DATE
'10 '11 '10 '11 '10 '11
FinMin +4.0 +3.3 +1.0 +3.5 -2.2 -2.3 Sept 14
NBS +4.3 +3.0 +0.9 +3.8 -2.6 -1.2 Sept 28
EC +2.7 +3.6 +1.3 +2.8 -4.5 -4.1 May 5 Notes: FinMin - Finance Ministry NBS - National Bank of Slovakia - GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr) - EU-NORM CPI - Annual average consumer price index, calculated under the EU methodology (pct) - C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP) - DATE - The date of the forecast release