* Zloty, forint recover sharp losses after U.S. data
* Crown less volatile, leu flat
* Hungary bonds weaker, Polish bonds shrug off FX volatility
* CEE shows signs of turnaround, but risks remain
(Updates throughout)
By Gergely Szakacs and Marius Zaharia
BUDAPEST/BUCHAREST, Aug 7 (Reuters) - The Polish zloty and the Hungarian forint recovered earlier losses on Friday, with sharp gains after U.S. jobs data, while the leu was flat all day as the Romanian industry showed a sign of turnaround.
The zloty and the forint were the main gainers of an improvement in global sentiment last month, because of Poland's better fundamentals and Hungary's higher yields, while the crown and the leu were less volatile.
The Polish and Hungarian currencies also saw the largest correction in the first half of the day on Friday, breaking support levels when stock markets corrected amid a brief shift in global sentiment.
The pace of Slovak and Romanian industrial output decline slowed in June, data showed on Friday [
], and earlier this week, the region saw improving Hungarian output figures as well, while in Czech Republic, exports rose [ ].At 1332 GMT, the zloty <EURPLN=> was up 0.5 percent and the <EURHUF=> was an inch down from the previous close after both losing about 1 percent earlier in the day.
The crown <EURCZK=> firmed 0.5 percent, with most gains coming after the U.S. data release, while the Romanian leu <EURRON=> remained flat for most of the day.
"Data from the U.S. backed the Polish unit, but in a short-term we see a room for a correction to around 4.22 to the euro," said one Warsaw-based dealer.
Regional currencies often took cues from the euro/dollar this year. But on Friday, they did not shift direction when the greenback erased the losses in the aftermath of the jobs data as traders said the U.S. currency is beginning to react positively to supportive news [
].
RISKS STILL WEIGH
Financial pain in central Europe is still felt. The Czech central bank surprised by unanimously cutting rates on Thursday to 1.25 percent, highlighting the bank saw risks from external price pressures and weakening domestic demand [
].On Friday, Romania's finance minister said the IMF accepted an increase in the country's budget deficit to around 7 percent of GDP as the economy is expected to contract by twice a previous estimate [
].Poland is the only regional economy seen having a chance to grow this year, which is why the zloty is seen by the markets as best performing currency over a 12-month period [
].In rare comments on specific exchange rate levels, Czech central bank governor Zdenek Tuma told local radio on Friday a stronger crown exchange rate between 25 and 26 to the euro would not be a big problem for the domestic economy. [
]Polish bonds were flat, shrugging off currency volatility, while Hungarian bonds extended earlier losses.
"There has been profit-taking in the past days, the selling side has been continuously stronger, but the market remains liquid and bids are coming higher," one Budapest-based fixed income trader said. ----------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT------------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Local
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today in 2009 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 25.78 25.91 +0.5% +3.77% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 4.113 4.134 +0.51% +0.05% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 269.8 269.16 -0.24% -2.32% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.325 7.323 -0.03% +0.55% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.21 4.207 -0.07% -4.65% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 93.25 93.387 +0.15% -4.04% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR -23 basis points to 97bps over bmk* 4-yr T-bond CZ4YT=RR +7 basis points to +118bps over bmk* 8-yr T-bond CZ8YT=RR 0 basis points to +243bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR -9 basis points to +333bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR -8 basis points to +277bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR -7 basis points to +257bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR -6 basis points to +665bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR -9 basis points to +603bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR -2 basis points to +524bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1632 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT. For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news [
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