* Gold expected to move higher, but at slower pace
* Silver hits 30-year high of $30.93
* Gold may fall towards $1,370 - technicals [
]* Coming up: U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI, Dec; 1500 GMT (Adds details, comments; updates prices)
By Rujun Shen
SINGAPORE, Jan 3 (Reuters) - Spot gold prices edged lower on Monday, after posting a 30 percent gain in 2010, as a rebound in the dollar weighed on the market, and silver pulled back from a 30-year high hit earlier.
The dollar gained nearly half a percent on Monday, building on gains from 2010, as investors gear up for gains in early 2011 on expectations the U.S. economic recovery was gaining momentum.
"This morning some profit-taking interest depressed the market, but gold still has very good support from fresh buying and short-covering," said Peter Fung, head of dealing department at Wing Fung Precious Metals in Hong Kong, adding that any dip below $1,400 will trigger buying interest.
Fung expected gold to trade in the range of $1,410 to $1,425 during the first trading day of the year, when volumes were still thin as key market players including China, Japan and Australia were out of action on holiday.
Spot gold edged down 0.2 percent to $1,416.22 an ounce by 0258 GMT, after finishing a tenth consecutive year of winning run.
U.S. gold futures shed 0.3 percent to $1,416.9.
"Everything is still looking good for gold," said a second Hong Kong-based dealer. "It's just a matter of time when gold strikes a new high. Gold will continue to go higher, but slower, as people will become more cautious at price levels at $1,500 or $1,600."
The sovereign debt crisis in Europe will continue to help drive investors to park their value in gold and other precious metals, he added.
Investors are eyeing the non-farm payroll data for December out of the United States, which is expected to show an improvement from the previous month, consistent with other signs that the economy is strengthening. [
]On the same day, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is scheduled to testify on the economic outlook before Congress.
TECHNICALS LESS BULLISH
Technicals project a less positive picture.
Spot gold is expected to fall towards $1,370 per ounce, as its wave pattern indicates a completion of a wave (5), and a deep correction may follow, according to Reuters market analyst Wang Tao. [
]In the first quarter, gold may be bound in a range between $1,144 and $1,214 an ounce, based on its wave pattern and a Fibonacci retracement analysis, Wang also said. [
]Spot silver touched a 30-year high of $30.93 earlier in the day, and retraced to $30.75. It posted an 83 percent gain in 2010, following top performer palladium's 97 percent rise.
Holdings in the world's largest silver-backed exchange-traded fund, iShares Silver Trust , rose for the first time since Dec 17 to 10,921.57 tonnes by Dec 31 from 10,903.34 tonnes.
Spot platinum rose to $1,775, its highest since Nov 10, before easing to $1,769.
Precious metals prices at 0258 GMT Metal Last Change Pct chg YTD pct chg Spot Gold 1416.22 -3.23 -0.23 -0.23 Spot Silver 30.75 -0.11 -0.36 -0.36 Spot Platinum 1769.00 1.50 +0.08 0.08 Spot Palladium 793.25 -6.25 -0.78 -0.78
(Editing by Manash Goswami)
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