* Investors shift from zloty to forint on rate expectations
* Leu close to highs after cbank "verbal intervention"
* Zloty erases some losses after retail sales data
(Adds detail on Hungary markets, bonds, Poland rates)
By Sam Cage
BUCHAREST, March 23 (Reuters) - Hungary's forint extended its recent gains on Wednesday as the prospect of rate cuts receded, while Romania's leu was close to 10-month highs after the central bank said its strength was underpinned by economic fundamentals.
The forint <EURHUF=> rose 0.4 percent past 270 against the euro, gaining for the fifth successive session, which dealers said reflected a shift from zlotys into forints as investors revise expectations both of an imminent Polish interest rate hike and of lower rates in Hungary.
Expectations that Hungary will issue a new benchmark dollar bond after investor roadshows in the United States and Europe are completed were also supporting the currency.
"The rate hike in Poland seems to be postponed, while our new Monetary Council is not expected to start cutting rates like crazy," a forex dealer in Budapest said. [
]Hungarian government bond yields dropped by a few basis points, tracking gains in the forint and as market optimism over Thursday's bond tender <HUISSUE> and a planned FX bond issuance supported sentiment.
Financial markets may be pricing in too many Polish interest rate rises over the next year, an adviser to the central bank governor said this week, adding that Poland may have a "huge" twin deficit. [
]Poland's zloty <EURPLN=> rose after data showing retail sales rose by a much higher-than-expected 12.2 percent year-on-year in February, erasing earlier gains to trade 0.1 percent lower on the day by 1100 GMT. [
]"The data, especially growth in such segments as furniture, confirms the economy continues to grow and a recent slowdown in sales was only temporary," said Piotr Kalisz, chief economist at Citibank in Warsaw.
LEU CLOSE TO HIGHS
The leu <EURRON=> rose 0.1 percent to 4.124 per euro, pushing towards a 4.111 high hit last May after the central bank told Reuters on Tuesday recent currency strength was underpinned by economic fundamentals. [
]"The statement could be considered as a verbal intervention, and the reason for the sharp move in the pair (was that) market players interpreted it as implying the (central bank) is more than comfortable with current EUR/RON levels," said ING's Nicolaie Alexandru-Chidesciuc.
One dealer said he was looking for consolidation at around 4.12-4.14. "Flows are pretty good and yesterday I guess was the largest traded volume for this year," he added.
The Czech Finance Ministry aims to sell 7 billion crowns at auction of its floating rate notes maturing in 2016 <CZ1002331=>, and dealers expected good demand for the paper which they said looked cheap.
Dealers also said a bond with a floating coupon could be attractive for investors if interest rates are set to rise.
The Czech crown <EURCZK=> was near flat against the euro and stocks were mixed across the region, with Prague <
> the top gainer, rising 0.4 percent. --------------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT-------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Localclose currency currency
change change
today in 2011 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 24.389 24.394 +0.02% +2.51% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 4.039 4.034 -0.12% -2.01% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 269.27 270.2 +0.35% +3.23% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.38 7.374 -0.08% 0% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.124 4.127 +0.07% +2.64% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 103.21 103.22 +0.01% +2.63% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR 0 basis points to 7bps over bmk* 7-yr T-bond CZ7YT=RR 0 basis points to +67bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ9YT=RR +1 basis points to +68bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR 0 basis points to +484bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR +1 basis points to +460bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR +1 basis points to +403bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1200 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT. For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news [
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