* FX mixed, Moody's statement on Portugal weighs on region
* Czech crown touch weaker ahead of no-confidence vote
* Poland's MPC starts two-day meeting
(Adds fixed income)
WARSAW, Dec 21 (Reuters) - Central European currencies were little changed on Tuesday, pressured by a rating agency warning on Portugal and with the Czech crown virtually flat ahead of a no-confidence vote on the government due later in the day.
News that Moody's put Portugal's ratings on review for a possible downgrade weighed as the euro -- the CEE region's main reference currency -- fell to around $1.3144. [
]The Czech vote had been seen as a non-event because the three-party coalition enjoys a safe majority in parliament, but a decision by junior coalition party Public Affairs late on Monday to leave cabinet talks stoked uncertainty. [
]"The move poses a potential risk for more weakening of the crown, but we can only hope that the smallest ruling party eventually will come back and support the government," said Elisabeth Andreew, FX analyst at Nordea.
The crown <EURCZK=>, seen as the region's safe haven, has been weakening since the start of November and hovered around its five-month-low at 25.225 by 1004 GMT, a touch higher compared to Monday's closing level.
The Czech vote follows a similar event in Romania, where Prime Minister Emil Boc's fragile coalition survived its third no-confidence vote on Monday, enabling it to press on with reforms to keep an IMF-led 20-billion-euro bailout on track. [
]The leu <EURRON=> was flat against the euro on Tuesday.
RATES ON HOLD
Other currencies were little changed, with the Polish zloty <EURCZK=> moving around previous closing levels. The central bank's Monetary Policy Council (MPC) started a two-day meeting on Tuesday with a decision on interest rates due on Wednesday.
Analysts polled by Reuters expect the 10-strong MPC to keep interest rates on hold for the 18th consecutive month, but the bank is seen raising borrowing costs in the first quarter of 2011.
Poland's central bank also releases net inflation data at 1300 GMT.
"If core inflation is above (the forecast) 1.2 percent, the market is likely to start speculating about the possibility of a rate hike already in December," said Thulan Nguyen, FX analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt.
"That could give the zloty a temporary boost."
Hungary's forint <EURHUF=> was some 0.3 percent stronger after the country's central bank raised rates for the second time in two months on Monday, to 5.75 percent, to defend its inflation target. [
]The bond markets were quiet across the region with investors awaiting Hungary's debt issuance plan <HUISSUE> for the next year, due to be published at 1030 GMT. --------------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT-------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Local
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today in 2010 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 25.225 25.243 +0.07% +4.33% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 3.993 3.998 +0.13% +2.78% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 275.75 276.5 +0.27% -1.96% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.382 7.383 +0.01% -0.99% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.289 4.289 0% -1.2% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 106.43 106.44 +0.01% -9.91% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR -9 basis points to 74bps over bmk* 7-yr T-bond CZ7YT=RR +1 basis points to +78bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ9YT=RR +4 basis points to +91bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR -1 basis points to +364bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR +3 basis points to +346bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR +3 basis points to +301bps over bmk* The P Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR +2 basis points to +646bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR +2 basis points to +580bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR +2 basis points to +493bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1104 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT.
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