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By Louise Heavens
SINGAPORE, March 27 (Reuters) - Asian stocks fell more than 1 percent on Thursday as financials slipped on worries over bank earnings, and the dollar hovered near a record low after a drop in U.S. durable goods stoked concerns the world's top economy is already in a recession.
Further signs the U.S. economy is flagging, and worries that there will be more bank write-downs after a prominent analyst downgraded four major U.S. banks, were compounded by inflation concerns as oil prices headed higher, and investors took refuge in bonds.
Bank shares, such as Japan's Mitsubishi UFJ <8306.T> and Australia's Macquarie Group <MQG.AX>, were among the biggest fallers, following the bank downgrades, a profit warning from Deutsche Bank <DBKGn.DE> and comments from European central bankers that there was no end in sight to the global credit crunch. [
] [ ]"It feels like a recession and it smells like a recession, so we may as well call it a recession," said Eric Betts, equities strategist at Nomura Australia.
"We've had problems at individual banks before but this time it seems to be industry-wide. The big worries are the margin crunch and rise in corporate bad debts," he added.
Tokyo's Nikkei <
> fell 1.8 percent by the midsession, dragged lower by exporters such as Honda Motor Co Ltd <7267.T> as the stronger yen promised to erode their profits.MSCI's index of other Asian shares <.MSCIAPJ> fell 1.2 percent by 0235 GMT, taking its losses so far this year to just under 15 percent.
Seoul's KOSPI <
> fell 0.9 percent, Sydney's S&P/ASX 200 index < > shed 0.6 percent, and Taipei's TAEIX < > dropped 1.9 percent in early trade.OIL AT $106
Oil traded above $106 dollars a barrel after a U.S. government report showed larger-than-expected drops in fuel stocks and declining fuel production in the world's top oil consumer.
U.S. crude oil futures <CLc1> added 29 cents to $106.21, while London Brent <LCOc1> traded at $104.40.
The dollar was within striking distance of a record low versus against the euro after the European Central Bank president's remark that euro zone rates were at the right level cooled expectations for a near-term ECB rate cut.
U.S. short-term interest rate futures now indicate investors see around a 40 percent chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in April. A 25 basis-point rate cut is fully priced. <FEDWATCH>
Against the yen, the dollar traded at 98.75 yen <JPY=>. The U.S. currency hit a 13-year low of 95.77 yen on EBS early last week. The euro <EUR=> traded at $1.5803 against the dollar.
Japanese government bond futures were lifted by the Nikkei's fall and strength in the yen.
June 10-year JGB futures rose as high as 141.03, before trimming gains to 140.85 <2JGBv1>, a rise of 0.41 of a point on the day.
The 10-year JGB yield fell 1.5 basis points to 1.260 percent <JP10YTN=JBTC>, edging back towards a three-year low of 1.215 percent reached on Wednesday.
Surging oil and a weaker dollar sent investors to gold. Spot prices <XAU=> rose to $952/952.80 an ounce. (Editing by Lincoln Feast)