* Stocks snap winning streak to drag on FX
* Poles sell less in 5-yr tender, yield up
* Diverging econ/fiscal paths open new trades
(Updates with Polish bond sale)
By Jason Hovet
PRAGUE, Sept 9 (Reuters) - The Polish zloty extended losses on Wednesday, weighed under by lingering budget concerns and retreating with other central European currencies even as stock markets recovered from earlier lows.
The zloty <EURPLN=> lost 0.8 percent to 4.117 to the euro by 1231 GMT, and Hungary's forint <EURHUF=> dipped 0.5 percent to the weak side of 270 per euro. Romania's leu <EURRON=> lost 0.1 percent.
"There is some profit taking, with good interest from offshore names in selling the zloty," said a Warsaw dealer, echoing other dealers who said budget worries could drag on the unit.
The Poles sold less bonds than a month ago at a 5-year bond tender on Wednesday, and the yield was up nearly 20 basis points in the first debt sale since weekend news the government expected the 2010 budget deficit to almost double this year's plan. [
]The paper was steady after the tender, yielding 5.72 percent.
Bonds had taken the brunt of the budget impact on Monday, jumping around 7 basis points along the curve on debt supply worries and reversing a rally seen over the summer months.
DIVERGING VIEWS
Signs of a better global economic outlook have boosted emerging assets such as those in central Europe, while the safer U.S. dollar has dropped to a year low as investors shunned it for gold. Dealers said markets would take further clues from the dollar's direction. [
]Against the dollar, the zloty <PLN=> and crown <CZK=> are trading at their strongest since December and October, respectively.
Central European stocks mostly snapped this week's winning streak, edging down slightly <
> < >, with only Warsaw < > reaching positive ground, as investors paused from a rally in riskier assets that has benefitted the region.The Czech crown <EURHUF=> dipped, easing only a touch after August annual inflation data came out lower than expected, boosting expectations interest rates would stay longer at a record low of 1.25 percent. [
]Dealers said the Polish budget impact could start being felt more on the zloty as appetite for riskier assets wanes, and markets are starting to look at more cross trades in the region.
"The question of (the Polish) deficit is obviously negative news which works against the zloty and in favour of the Hungarian forint," said a Warsaw trader, adding an attraction was the forint's higher yield -- with Hungarian rates at 8 percent compared to Poland's 3.5 percent.
On Tuesday, Danske Bank recommended buying the zloty against the crown due to better economic prospects. [
]Analysts generally see an end to rate cuts in Poland and the Czech Republic, while, with the highest rates in the European Union, Hungary and Romania are seen easing going into next year.
"Normally news of cuts would weaken the forint but analysts say there's value in going long," a Budapest dealer said.
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today in 2009 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 25.485 25.479 -0.02% +4.98% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 4.117 4.087 -0.73% -0.05% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 270.85 269.64 -0.45% -2.7% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.335 7.333 -0.03% +0.41% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.246 4.241 -0.12% -5.45% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 93.09 93.13 +0.04% -3.88% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 3-yr T-bond CZ3YT=RR +1 basis points to 194bps over bmk* 7-yr T-bond CZ7YT=RR +11 basis points to +192bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ10YT=RR +12 basis points to +192bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR -2 basis points to +404bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR -4 basis points to +337bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR -6 basis points to +282bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR -17 basis points to +629bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR -18 basis points to +565bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR -10 basis points to +491bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1434 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT. For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news [
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