* Czechs, Romania leave rates flat, FX unmoved
* Other FX, bonds fall after recent gains, equities mixed
* Markets may be overpricing rate increases in region
(Updates with Czech, Romania's decisions on rates)
By Sandor Peto and Dagmara Leszkowicz
BUDAPEST/WARSAW, Feb 3 (Reuters) - The Czech crown and Romania's leu shrugged off decisions by their countries' central banks to leave interest rates unchanged as they were both in line with market expectations.
The Czech central bank kept rates flat as a strong currency and fiscal austerity offset inflation risks from the economic recovery, while Romania's bank held fire in order to support the struggling economy. [
] [ ]A Reuters poll on Wednesday suggested forward rate curves in the European Union's eastern emerging economies are overpricing future rate increases. [
]By 1237 GMT the crown <EURCZK=> was 0.2 percent stronger against the common currency after showing no reaction to the decision. Romania's leu <EURRON=> was 0.1 percent lower.
The Polish zloty <ERUPLN=> also weakened by some 0.1 percent and Hungary's forint <EURHUF=> shed some 0.2 percent.
Assets in the region have in general firmed in recent weeks as concerns over the euro zone debt crisis have eased, and government bonds joined Thursday's profit-taking.
Hungarian yields rose 6-9 basis points from three-month lows and Polish yields were up 1-2 basis points.
Hungary sold 12-month Treasury bills at an average yield of 5.96 percent at auction, below levels seen at a sale of the same paper two weeks ago. [
]"The market no longer expects the central bank (NBH) to lift interest rates further (from 6 percent)," one Budapest-based fixed income trader said.
The NBH has raised rates in three steps of 25 basis points each since November to fight inflation, and changes in its rate-setting council by March are seen turning it more dovish.
CENTRAL BANK COMMENTS AWAITED
Strong currencies and stuttering recovery should limit the scope for rate hikes in the region, analysts say. [
]Czech markets will watch whether the central bank's rhetoric turns more hawkish at a news conference following the rate decision at 1330 GMT. Analysts expect the bank's new macroeconomic forecasts to show higher growth for this year.
Markets will also watch the tone of the Romanian central bank's comments at around 1400 GMT.
"We do believe that supporting the economic recovery would require acting now, not later, but this could be very costly in terms of inflation," ING Bank said in a note ahead of the rate decision.
Poland's central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates further after a 25 basis point increase last month, and the zloty is expected to outperform regional peers in the next 12 months. [
] --------------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT-------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Localclose currency currency
change change
today in 2011 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 24.051 24.092 +0.17% +3.95% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 3.912 3.908 -0.1% +1.18% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 269.4 268.99 -0.15% +3.18% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.418 7.42 +0.03% -0.51% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.26 4.256 -0.09% -0.63% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR +3 basis points to 35bps over bmk* 7-yr T-bond CZ7YT=RR +1 basis points to +61bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ9YT=RR +1 basis points to +76bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR +5 basis points to +353bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR +4 basis points to +332bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR +1 basis points to +296bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR +9 basis points to +492bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR +11 basis points to +450bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR +8 basis points to +395bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1347 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT.
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