(last updated Oct 17)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED* KEY INTEREST RATES OVERNIGHT REPO TWO-WEEK REPO rate (pct) 2.25/5.75 4.25 last changed APRIL 24, 2007 APRIL 24, 2007 former rate (pct) 2.50/6.00 4.50 ------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP Q2/08 Q1/08 Q2/07 FY/07 (pct change yr/yr) +7.6 +8.7 +9.3 +10.4 Final consumption Household +5.7 +8.4 +7.8 +7.1 Government +8.9 +0.6 -3.5 +0.7 Gross fixed capital formation +9.6 +2.4 +5.9 +7.9 Foreign trade balance exports of goods and services +8.7 +12.4 +18.1 +16.0 imports of goods and services +9.0 +14.2 +13.2 +10.4 -------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP 2000-2006 (pct chng yr/yr) FY/2006 - +8.3 FY/2005 - +6.6 (+6.0) FY/2004 - +5.2 (+5.4) FY/2003 - +4.8 (+4.2) FY/2002 - +4.8 (+4.1) FY/2001 - +3.4 (+3.2) FY/2000 - +1.4 (+0.7) -------------------------------------------------------------- C/A BALANCE JAN-JULY/08 JAN-JULY/07 (SKK bln) -75.1 -51.3 C/A BALANCE JAN-JUNE/08 JAN-JUNE/07 (SKK bln) Total -63.0 -32.8 Foreign trade -4.1 -6.4 Service -6.0 +6.8 Income balance -40.0 -25.8 Current transfers -12.9 -7.3 -------------------------------------------------------------- FOREIGN TRADE AUG 08 JULY 08 AUG 07 JAN-DEC 07 (SKK bln) Imports 111.448 126.750 113.968 1,442.123 Exports 112.070 123.338 108.163 1,420.738 Balance +0.622 -3.412 -5.805 -21.385 DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change in SKK terms) nominal imports -2.2 +9.3 +4.5 +10.2 nominal exports +3.6 +7.8 +2.6 +15.2 -------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION SEPT 08 AUG 08 SEPT 07 pct change mo/mo +0.4 -0.1 +0.3 pct change yr/yr +4.5 +4.4 +1.7 SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI SEPT 08 AUG 08 SEPT 07 pct change mo/mo +0.7 +0.2 +0.2 pct change yr/yr +5.4 +5.0 +2.8 SLOVAK CORE CPI pct change mo/mo +0.4 +0.2 +0.2 pct change yr/yr +5.5 +5.3 +3.0 -------------------------------------------------------------- CENTRAL STATE BUDGET JAN-SEPT/08 JAN-SEPT/07 FY 2008 PLAN (SKK bln) revenues 241.867 228.545 348.252 expenditure 237.549 229.160 380.233 balance +4.317 -0.615 -31.981 -------------------------------------------------------------- PRODUCER PRICES JULY 08 JUNE 08 JULY 07 pct change month/month +0.5 +0.2 +0.5 pct change year/year +6.3 +6.3 +1.3 -------------------------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT AUG 08 JULY 08 AUG 07 pct change yr/yr +0.9 +1.9 +4.8 CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT AUG 08 JULY 08 AUG 07 pct change yr/yr +7.7 +9.1 -1.6 SELECTED SECTOR SALES JULY 08 JUNE 08 JULY 07 JAN-DEC 07 (pct change yr/yr) Retail sales +6.9 +3.1 +5.9 +5.5 Hotels and restaurants +1.2 +4.3 -4.4 +1.6 Vehicle sales and maintenance +6.0 +3.5 +26.9 +24.2 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES AUG 08 JULY 08 AUG 07 FY/07 real pct change yr/yr +0.7 +3.6 +3.8 +3.5 nominal pct change yr/yr +5.7 +8.6 +6.2 +6.4 SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q2/08 Q1/08 Q2/07 FY/07 real pct change yr/yr +4.8 +6.2 +4.1 4.3 nominal pct change yr/yr +9.5 +10.4 +6.7 7.2 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT SEPT 08 AUG 08 SEPT 07 pct of workforce 7.54 7.36 8.30 number of available jobless 196,698 192,098 215,973 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK GROSS FOREIGN DEBT ($ million) END-JUNE/08 END-MAY/08 TOTAL 56,110.2 52,367.5 LONG TERM DEBT 26,497.5 25,350.3 (of which) Govt and central bank 11,385.5 10,728.6 Commercial banks 2,820.5 2,692.8 Corporates 12,291.5 11,928.9 SHORT TERM DEBT 29,612.7 27,017.2 (of which) Govt and central bank 0.0 0.0 Commercial banks 15,632.7 13,843.8 Corporates 13,980.0 13,173.4 --------------------------------------------------------------- *SLOVAK FOREIGN RESERVES OCT 15 OCT 8 OCT 1 ($ million) Central bank 17,878.1 17,810.7 18,457.7 Commercial banks 3,045.8 2,827.8 3,075.2 Total banking sector 20,923.9 20,638.5 21,532.9 NOTE: Reserves data are calculated according to methodology compatible with European Central Bank standards. --------------------------------------------------------------- ECONOMIC FORECASTS:
GDP EU-NORM CPI C/A DATE
'08 '09 '08 '09 '08 '09 FinMin +7.7 +6.5 +3.8 +3.4 -4.1 -2.5 June 25 Cbank +7.6 +6.6 +4.0 +2.8 -5.1 -2.9 July 29 EC +7.0 +6.2 +3.8 +3.2 April 28 Notes: EC - The European Commission FinMin - Finance Ministry NBS - National Bank of Slovakia GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr) CPI - Average annual change in consumer price index, calculated under the EU methodology (pct). C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP) DATE - The date of the forecast release.