* ERM 2 talk in Bulgaria, Poland improves regional mood
* Hungary sharply raises bond auction amounts
* Moody's maintains Romania outlook at stable
(Adds bonds, comments, updates markets)
By Marius Zaharia and Marton Dunai
BUCHAREST/BUDAPEST, July 9 (Reuters) - Central and eastern European currencies stabilised at stronger levels on Thursday, boosted by ERM2 comments from Poland and Bulgaria, while Hungary's bonds extended gains on improved sentiment.
Simeon Djankov, expected to become Bulgaria's finance minister after the election over the weekend, said the Balkan state will apply for ERM-2 entry in November. [
]In Poland, Finance Minister Jacek Rostowski was quoted as saying the zloty may be stable enough to enter the ERM-2 in the second half of 2009. [
]But he did not say when Poland would actually join the euro zone's waiting room, which limited impact on the market.
"We're not convinced that either (ERM2 entry) will occur, on fiscal grounds in Poland and balance of payments grounds in Bulgaria, though at the margin (we) do see CEE EMU newsflow improving," UniCredit said in a note.
By 1434 GMT, the zloty had risen 1 percent, Hungary's forint and the Czech crown each had gained 0.4 percent, while the Romanian leu was steady.
One dealer in Bucharest said Poland's successful $2 billion 10-year eurobond issue this week, oversubscribed fourfold, is finally being reflected in the currency market on the back of a pickup in risk appetite, helping the zloty.
Analysts and another dealer said the Polish unit received extra support from a Scandinavian construction company working on a major highway in Poland, which sold some euros on Thursday.
Stock markets also ticked up, following a general rally in Europe, and bonds were stronger as well.
Hungarian bond yields dropped about 30 basis points across the curve and the debt management agency AKK announced it would up the offered amount at next week's auctions to 55 billion forints [
].
DATA DO NOT SURPRISE
Data on Thursday did not immediately impact currencies as they were broadly in line with market expectations, although they indicated recession is still overhanging central and eastern Europe.
Czech June inflation rose 1.2 percent on the year [
] and the country's June unemployment rose to 8 percent [ ]."The situation remains quite serious," said Komercni Banka's Jan Vejmelek. "Unemployment will go higher for another year."
Romanian industry output edged down on the month in May [
] while Moody's maintained a stable outlook for the country. Hungary posted a bigger than expected trade surplus [ ].Currencies came under pressure earlier this week and on Wednesday they posted sharp losses after breaking technical support levels.
All units are seen gaining over a 12-month horizon, with the Polish zloty leading the way. ----------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT------------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Local
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today in 2009 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 25.955 26.061 +0.41% +3.07% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 4.374 4.418 +1.01% -5.92% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 275.58 276.75 +0.42% -4.37% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.347 7.337 -0.14% +0.24% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.212 4.211 -0.02% -4.69% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 93.436 92.406 -1.1% -4.23% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR -5 basis points to 161bps over bmk* 4-yr T-bond CZ4YT=RR -5 basis points to +178bps over bmk* 8-yr T-bond CZ8YT=RR +4 basis points to +313bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR -9 basis points to +401bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR -5 basis points to +318bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR -5 basis points to +291bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR -26 basis points to +766bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR -63 basis points to +691bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR -51 basis points to +570bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1634 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1500 GMT.
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