* Zloty leads gains in CEE on better sentiment
* PMI indexes improving in Poland, Czech Republic
* FX still under pressure as downside risks remains
(Updates throughout)
By Dagmara Leszkowicz and Jason Hovet
WARSAW/PRAGUE, June 1 (Reuters) - Stronger appetite for risk boosted the Polish zloty and Czech crown versus the euro on Monday, with stock markets jumping and the U.S. dollar staying weak.
Improving economic indicators for some of the region and hopes the global economy will start to recover added to sentiment, while more hawkish talk from Polish central bankers also lift the zloty.
Significant monetary easing in Poland which has brought interest rates to a historic low may not be needed any longer because the economy could start to recover in a few months' time, while inflation remains stubbornly high, two central bankers signalled on Monday. [
]In Warsaw, the blue-chip index <
> jumped more than 6 percent along with Prague < >.The zloty <EURPLN=> shot 1.6 percent higher against the euro to bid at 4.438, while the Czech crown <EURCZK=> was 1 percent stronger against the single currency by late afternoon.
"Risk appetite is starting to be felt more," said a London trader. "More people are starting to feel a rally is taking hold for real."
But the dealer add liquidity has remained low, which has exaggerated price swings in recent months, keeping many on the fence over central Europe's rally.
FOR REAL?
Data Monday showed improving Polish PMI data, although it was still below the 50 mark where growth starts, but inched up in May. [
].The Czech PMI rose to a 7-month high but is still deep in contraction territory. Analysts said it only showed the worst has passed. [
]Dealers said the zloty was also buoyed by gross domestic product (GDP) data on Friday showing the Polish economy still growing in the first quarter, albeit marginally.
"It seems investors has finally noticed that Poland posted a growth in the first quarter," said one Warsaw-based dealer.
Romania's leu <EURRON=> edged up 0.1 percent. In Hungary, which is closed for holiday, the forint <EURHUF=> rose 1.5 percent.
Polish bonds also strengthened with the currency, but Czech bonds were little changed despite data showing the budget widening to almost twice what the government planned last year. [
]Emerging European currencies have swung widely in 2009, rebounding strongly since February and March lows before settling into still somewhat wide ranges in the past month. The forint is up 3 percent since May 15, while the crown and zloty has added 1 percent in that time.
Lagging effects in the economic downturn, like sharply higher budget deficits and rising bad loans due to higher joblessness, will keep downside pressures on currencies, dealers and strategists say.
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today in 2009 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 26.68 26.935 +0.96% +0.27% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 4.438 4.51 +1.62% -7.28% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 279.25 283.5 +1.52% -5.62% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.34 7.356 +0.22% +0.34% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.182 4.185 +0.07% -4.01% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 93.953 94.757 +0.86% -4.76% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR -5 basis points to 149bps over bmk* 4-yr T-bond CZ4YT=RR -4 basis points to +153bps over bmk* 8-yr T-bond CZ8YT=RR -4 basis points to +262bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR -5 basis points to +399bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR -8 basis points to +305bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR -11 basis points to +261bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1645 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT. For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news [
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